Re: party poker badbeat jackpot
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can anyone give an analysis on how big the jackpot would have to be in order to justify playing ANY straight flush draw preflop (even a 3 gapper) in light of the odds of someone else having a staight flush or quad 8's or better in the same hand?
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it depends on so many things. how -EV are those hands to begin with? what hands are your opponents playing, and how are they playing them? are you only playing those hands if someone raises (suggesting a bad beat is more likely)? do you limp in and hope someone will play a hand like 88 or 99 without raising? if you need quad 8s or better, playing 63s
is a lot less likely to hit the jackpot than 74s... do you really mean all suited cards that stretch, or do you want a threshhold at which to start playing each hand? or do you want the probability that your 42s will get involved in a bad beat when pitted against some number of randomly selected hands?
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