Re: Discounting Outs
Okay, I decided to run your scenario through a poker odds calculator. I made the worst possible scenario for you. I also assumed you only had 3 allins, and the BB folded his miniraise.
Let's say one caller has KK (no diamonds)
Let's say the other caller has 88
And your hand is 45 diamonds. Results calculated post flop.
These are the results
88 54% probability of winning
45 42% probability of winning
KK 4% probability of winning
In retrospect, this is pretty darn close to a coinflip. Much closer than I thought. So, if you make the assumption Texas Rattlers suggests, that there is only a 5% probability someone has a higher flush draw, then this is a slightly better allin/call than I had given it credit for.
So, here is me eating my words. Given the total chip amount it's probably a good call.
I think advice could go either way on this post flop play.
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