Re: Transcendence Continues (or: I really think I\'m getting it)
I like your though process throughout the hand, except I think folding on the river is flawed. It doesn't really make sense for him to stop firing at the pot on the river, no matter his hand. If he is LAG (and thinks you are tight [as evidenced by your fold here]), he will usually bet the river.
If you think you likely had the best hand on the flop, then it's hard to swing to 90% ceretainty you are beat, and this is a bad fold.
On a side note: if this guy _never_ bets without a hand when all the cards are out, then that's a big and exploitable flaw, and one I've never heard of (a LAG who never bluffs the river).
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