[alexbrew]

Everytime I get knocked out I mark whether I had a significant lead in the hand prior to the all-in or not. About half the time I'm knocked out I'm a sizable favorite. Most of the other times I'm making a value based all-in with the worst of it.

If I'm a big favorite, why am I knocked out half the time? Because I play tight and have to contend with big stacks at stage 5 unless I've caught big hands early. I basically have to double up twice to get the chip lead. So if I get all in at a 60/40 advantage twice, odds are (74% of the time) I'm going to get eliminated in that tourney on one of those two hands.

It sucks having to make blinds based decisions, but a) noone is making me play on PP. and b) this style of play makes the low limit games very beatable.