Re: Black AA on the button.
I bet. If he's paid attention to you for 121 hands over 48 hours he's seen you play aggressively and bet/raise lots of hands for value. The fact that you slowed down on the flop means you don't have a K, and that you probably won't bet the river for value with a smaller pair, which means if he has a K he doesn't want this river getting checked through. So he would bet. He didn't, he doesn't have a K, thus you bet.
My head now hurts so let's just assume he never checkraises you. Mmmm-kay?
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