Re: AQs: big draw on the flop facing a weak flop bet.
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If I get called, I'm only a dog to a set, but I'd rather win this uncontested.
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I've got news for you: you're also a dog to a pair.
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>pokenum -h ac qc - ad kd -- ks tc 7c
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Ks Tc 7c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ac Qc 447 45.15 534 53.94 9 0.91 0.456
Ad Kd 534 53.94 447 45.15 9 0.91 0.544</pre><hr />
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To that specific pair, yes. But not to all pairs. I suppose AK is a reasonable hand to expect, though, but why would AK bet 10% of the pot with TPTK here?
I'm a slight dog to AK, but with the dead money in the pot and only $15 remaining in my stack, is there any way where I'm not going all-in? I'm 50/50 against AK/QQ/JJ.
So how about semantics -- I'm only a huge dog to a set.
I'm trying to understand why I'd want to see the turn here, if I can avoid it. Is the 10% pot bet something I should be more aware of at this level, or does it usually suggest weakness, like it seemed to here?
Rob
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