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Old 12-10-2004, 10:14 AM
Nick Royale Nick Royale is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Sweden
Posts: 270
Default Re: AJs - berated afterward for being lucky - true?

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don't like the turn raise - I think he can see the river for cheap, and I'm not sure how many outs he actually has. Clearly the 9 spades are good, but the 3 aces are debatable...especially when looking at the flop action - I'd give hero about 12.5 outs - which isn't enough to justify raising this turn.

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Hero has only 7 good spadeouts when CO has flopped a set. But giving 12.5 outs is a reasonable estimation, even if I'd say it's a little generous. 11-12 I would say looking at the flop action.

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I still don't make this raise because I don't want to force the field to call two cold when I'm on a flush draw.

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I agree, you might fold opponents you need in the pot to make raising +EV.
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