[Piiop]

How does the way the action went down affect your estimate of how often it will be raised behind us on the turn? Specifically, that the original flop bettor checked and MP1 bet the turn. (Reads would help a lot here - on the bettors and players left to act)

I just dont think it will happen very often at all. Like I said in my first post in this thread, I think the biggest reason to fold the turn is your relative position. Your odds could be cut by a raise/reraise behind you and you won't pick up any extra river bets. So, if you thought the probability of a raise behind you was somewhat substantial then you could easily go from call to fold (Or fold to easier fold [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]). If he folded, I definitely wouldn't say it was bad. It's on the very edge of +EV but could easily fall into -EV given the right circumstances. But I do think it can be +EV, so a call would not be incorrect.