Re: Standard Hand 2: Whiffed Overcards OOP
If you usually estimate your overcards to be worth 3 outs each, then you are overestimating thier worth.
In this case, any K puts a 3-straight on board, and A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] puts a more dangerous 3-flush on board. What's more, you could be reverse-dominated or even drawing dead against a set or 2-pair. The point is, you can't say with 100% certianty that spiking your pair will win the pot. And so, you can never count 2 overcards as being worth 6 outs. 1.5 outs each is standard. In many cases, they are worth even less.
However, there are 2 mitigating factors in this hand: I have 2 backdoor draws, each also worth about 1.5 outs. So you came to the right conclusion - that my hand was worth 6 outs. But your reasoning was wrong.
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