[ccwhoelse?]

[ QUOTE ]
you make money if a 2 outer calls the turn.. at the expense of losing 1 in 22 pots, but making 21 bets the times he doesn't pull through.


[/ QUOTE ]

not true.

if the button had pocket 7s for example:

I call, button called - 13.5 BB. i'll win 90.5% of the time
my EV = 12.12

If i raise and button folded, - 14.5 BB. i'll win 95.5% of the time and my EV is 12.95 like in my earlier post.

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if i raise and button calls my raise, i'll win more money. all assuming that SB is behind.

if SB has a T, it doesn't really matter and I just want to know if i should fold (i.e. he 3-bets or bets into me on the river)

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cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ac Ah 38 90.48 4 9.52 0 0.00 0.905
9s 8s 2 4.76 40 95.24 0 0.00 0.048
7s 7d 2 4.76 40 95.24 0 0.00 0.048