Re: Playing 77 w/ Ragged Flop?
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estimating a high pocket pair for a preflop raise 50% of the time is pretty steep. more often you'll see AK, AQ, AJ, KQ because these hands come up more often than pocket pairs.
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After my posting above I thought the same sort of thing. Especially because the raiser is in CO. (Although in this case from PT I knew that CO had only previously raised with pockets.) Has anyone gone through and calculated these likelihoods from (say) SSHE?
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small blind could easily be betting a flush draw.
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I don't credit most PP players with betting out a flush draw, do you?
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your hand is vulnerable, you want to raise to thin the field and give your hand a better chance of winning at showdown.
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Can I really expect someone on AK or a flush draw to fold to a flop raise? If there hadn't been a PF raise, I would clearly raise in this situation to try to thin the field, but with the PF raise and the cold-call/bet from SB, I just don't think I have any chance of knocking anyone out.
-- Scott
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