Thread: Party NL Tables
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  #28  
Old 11-09-2004, 12:53 AM
Triumph36 Triumph36 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 60
Default Re: My thoughts on bankroll

It seems like a very simple concept.

A player who pushes every edge is going to lose more buyins quicker. They are more likely to lose every hand, and they are more likely to go on streaks of both winning and losing. A 'nut-peddler' is only going to go all-in when he thinks he has by far the best of it, and so he's going to win those hands more than 70% of the time.

Take the extreme example of a player who only goes all in when he thinks he has the way the best of it (65%, let's say), and a player who goes all in with 51% edges. Over 6 all ins, the odds that both players bust is .35^6 for the 'nut-peddler' and .49^6. It's obvious which one is higher.

Not to mention that a player who 'pushes every edge' will often get their money in when they are well behind.

Don't ask for an analogy. Just examine the numbers.
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