Re: Mark and Greg- last question
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In Fossilman's words, is waiting a greater EV play than pushing now, or isn't it? You're more likely to get a hand in the cutoff that's higher than your current hand (I believe 86 and lower falls below the median point, am I wrong?) and Mark didn't say anything about the possibility of making a move then.
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E, your analysis here seems to assume that it will be folded around to you again on the next hand, when you are in the CO. Having slightly better cards on the next hand won't do you much good if there's a raise in front of you.
There's a good chance that he won't see another +EV opportunity before it's too late, let alone a 75% chance to nearly double up uncontested.
If this is 1 or 2 outside the money line, it might be worth hanging tight, but a move is probably going to be needed at some point in order to cash.
Disclaimer: I am by no means a tournament expert, and if I am looking at this wrong, I would greatly appreciate a smackdown from those who are.
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