Re: AK at final table
I think it’s somewhat close call. Depends a lot on the player and your
read. If he’d make that play only with AA-22, AK/AQ/AJ then you’re probably EV flat. Start adding some AT/KQ and worse hands then your EV starts going up dramatically. If you can rule out AA/KK then your EV goes up a lot. So would he make that play many weaker aces or painted face cards? Would he limp with AA/KK? Has he done this overbet before, and what did it mean then?
Since he out stacks you and many players need to start gambling it up before you, folding has some value here, particularly if the table is tight. But my bias is probably to err on the side of push.
--Greg
|