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Old 10-19-2004, 06:00 PM
Analyst Analyst is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 153
Default Re: Big Bets Per Session

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Somehow knowing the standard deviation doesn't help me picture the path as well as a list of 20 sessions would.

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Not as intuitively, perhaps, but the SD gives you a more accurate indication of what to expect. For 500 hands, with an SD of 18, you can expect that ~two-thirds of your sessions will fall between +/- 40 BB around your expected win. Of course, this means that a third of the time, you'll see swings even beyond this - pretty big fluctuations, yes, but just part of the game.

For a +3BB/100 hands player, a -85BB session such as you describe may be well out of the usual but by no means unheard of - on average, it will happen once every 160 sessions or so.
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