Poll: How reliable is this online tell
In another thread I was critized for changing my play due to an online tell. It made me realize that I really had no idea how to quantify the reliablity of online tells. So I'm interested in your opinion on the following situation.
A weak-tight player has been at the table for an hour and has always reacted in a timely fashion unless he clearly had something to think about. In this hand he is in the BB facing 4 limpers and takes a very long pause before he checks.
Assume that for this particular player the boarderline raising hands from the BB are AQo-AJo, KQo, KJs, QJs and TT-99 corresponding to 4.2 percent of all hands.
How likely do you think it is that BB has a borderline raising hand?
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