[Cosimo]

Assume 1000 people that all play the same. Have each play 100 hands. The resulting data is 100,000 hands, enough to establish a winrate. The key here is all hundred play the same. The problem, though, is accurately establishing play patterns after just 100 hands. It could have been a strong run of cards for a tight-aggressive; or some loose-passives on tilt; etc.

So I'm going to agree that the analysis is flawed. I don't think that a consistent LAG could be a winner, especially not for 3BB/100h or more.

But on the other hand... put a LAG on a table full of weak-tight-passive players, and I think the LAG could take all their money. That could be what is inflating the LAG's numbers.