View Single Post
  #3  
Old 10-05-2004, 11:46 PM
ctv1116 ctv1116 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Princeton, NJ
Posts: 124
Default Re: One third of the fish and maniacs are winning -- some PT stats

This is why your analysis is flawed: if people on this board say you need 50K hands to know your win rate, then what makes you think 100 hands will determine whether a player is a "winner" or a "loser"? Here's a simple exercise: Let's say that every player in your database is a -1BB/100 player with 15BB/100 standard deviation. Let all of them play 100 hands. How many of these players will be up for their 100 hands? The answer is about 40%, when in reality ALL of the players are by definition losing players.
Reply With Quote