View Single Post
  #9  
Old 10-04-2004, 07:39 AM
ACW ACW is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 13
Default Re: Slotboom\'s quiz vs Ed Miller and percent of winning sessions

[ QUOTE ]
A player with a +2 BB/hr winrate with a variance of 14 BB/hr will emerge as a winner in a 5-hr session about 63% of the time.

A player with a +1 BB/hr winrate with a variance of 7 bb/hr winrate will emerge as a winner in a 5-hr session about 59% of the time.


[/ QUOTE ]

I don't see how this can be correct. Consider playing 0.50/1 and winning 2BB/hr with 14BB/hr variance and compare with 1/2 winning 1BB/hr with 7BB/hr variance. They're both +$2/hr with $14/hr variance, so the probability of a winning session must be identical.
Reply With Quote