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Old 09-15-2004, 04:14 PM
CountDuckula CountDuckula is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Castle Duckula -- home for many centuries to a dreadful dynasty of vicious vampire ducks: The Counts of Duckula!
Posts: 285
Default Re: ok... anyone else find more bad beats at ULTIMATE BET than others

Unfortunately, anything can happen in the short run. In the long run, the cards will fall as probability dictates, but the long run is very, very long indeed. Some people will see disproportionate bad beats at UB, others will see them at Party, still others will see them at Stars. And other people will enjoy astonishing at those sites. For a while, anyway....

Also, remember the role selection bias plays. When you get hit by a bad beat, such as someone rivering trip 7s to take out your pocket rockets, you remember that! You may not think twice about the times your As hold up, because that's what "should" happen; but when they don't, you feel somehow cheated, and it sticks in your mind.

Variance is a b****, I'm afraid.

-Mike
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