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Search: Posts Made By: Spekkio
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-14-2005, 05:23 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 66
Posted By Spekkio
Re: 1/2 nl live TT preflop UTG

There is no way a "thinking" player at $1/2 NL is re-raising the UTG pre-flop raiser without AK, AA, KK, or QQ, simply because like you said there were a few other callers in the hand. You are beat...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-09-2005, 11:42 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 73
Posted By Spekkio
Re: TPTK heavily reraised

This is $10NL. Villain can have a wide range of hands here. I doubt he has QQ-AA because he only smooth called pre-flop. So that leaves AQ, KQ, QJ, 88, 55. You crush 3 of these, three of these...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-08-2005, 04:51 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 75
Posted By Spekkio
Re: NL50 Too eager with AA?

You are either way ahead or way behind here. If you push now, you win the minimum possible and lose the maximum possible. Let's say, for example, Villain has AKo. Although it would be hard to put...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-07-2005, 10:50 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 40
Posted By Spekkio
Re: Flopped set, solid villain

If the Villain is truly a solid player, push here and he's gotta be one hell of a player to lay down his AK. He may have hit a set of AA or KK but you're screwed then anyway.
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-07-2005, 06:03 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 44
Posted By Spekkio
Re: AQs CO - vs huge raise PF

You like the odds if he has KK? Man, why don't you take AQs, and I take KK, and we'll deal 100 hands at $50 a pop. You realize you are only 32% to win this hand if he has KK of a different suit,...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-07-2005, 03:58 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 140
Posted By Spekkio
Re: AQs - count your outs?

Considering the amount of times a typical $50NL villain will call off his stack with a pair of jacks or KK, I'd say you'd make money off this in the long term by getting all the money in the middle...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 08:27 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 78
Posted By Spekkio
Re: continuationbet... no good?

I don't mind his raise in the CO in the first hand, but I don't like it in the second when it's not suited and he's in the CO. Also, you said KJ is ahead of most villains. This is true. However,...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 08:15 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 78
Posted By Spekkio
Re: continuationbet... no good?

Super weak tight, eh? Well, upon running a few thousand hands through poker tracker, I found one of my biggest leaks was broadway cards: KQ, KJ, QJ, etc. A lot of people overplay these cards, and...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 07:54 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 45
Posted By Spekkio
Re: AA - Paired board on river!

Since the board is a little scary with the KQ, I would check behind and call a river bet. Reason being is when you bet the turn, only better hands are going to call you. On the river, someone might...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 07:30 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 140
Posted By Spekkio
Re: AQs - count your outs?

With any two cards, you're not at least 40% to win.
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 06:23 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 78
Posted By Spekkio
Re: continuationbet... no good?

Don't raise KJ unless you are the first in in late position. In both hands UTG limped in, you shouldn't be raising this hand as the only hands that will call your PFR are hands that have you beat...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 06:17 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 51
Posted By Spekkio
Re: 50NL 6max: SB JJ to raise and minreraise

Well, you have to include the reads/information in your post. Just posting this hand and saying "what do I do" leaves a lot of information out. Your read on your opponents are critical in this...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 05:48 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 51
Posted By Spekkio
Re: 50NL 6max: SB JJ to raise and minreraise

What are the reads on the two villains? If I just sat down at a table and see a raise and re-raise pre-flop, I muck JJ from the blinds. I might then find out that the two players are donks with AJ...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 05:25 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 140
Posted By Spekkio
Re: AQs - count your outs?

Min raise for information? That'd donkish. A min raise doesn't tell you anything.

Granted, there isn't really a read here, but merely from statistical analysis, he's going to have one pair the...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 04:47 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 140
Posted By Spekkio
Re: AQs - count your outs?

You think he's betting out with a set of jacks here? I don't. I think he's got one pair, it's just a question of which one pair. The $60 bet is to either A) make him fold his AJ, KJ, QQ-AA and B)...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 01:48 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 46
Posted By Spekkio
Re: $25 NL 6-max flush draw aggression check (push in these situations?)

First hand: Check raise all-in if he's aggressive post flop. If not, then lead out and push if you're raised.

Second hand: Call. With the min raise, you have odds to see the next card, and you...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-06-2005, 01:40 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 140
Posted By Spekkio
Re: AQs - count your outs?

Raise to $60...if he pushes, call, if not then it's all going in on the turn no matter what falls. The worst he probably has is AJ or an over-pair, and the only way you have less than 12 outs...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 07-15-2005, 01:06 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 88
Posted By Spekkio
Re: preflop raises?

I think the idea there is that a lot of people cannot lay down AA or KK after the flop, no matter what. Compound that with the fact that it's VERY difficult to tell if someone has a set, and here's...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 05-13-2005, 12:18 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 132
Posted By Spekkio
Re: Corollary to the perennial \"Folding AA preflop\" question

Well, let's see.

You stand to win 7x your money.

You have better than a 1 in 6 chance of winning.

You should call, every time, in a cash game.
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 04-18-2005, 02:17 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 109
Posted By Spekkio
Re: KK PP NL100

You played this hand ass-backwards.

On the flop you have the best hand. An aggressive player might be betting their flush draw (although not likely at this limit. The raise tells me he has some...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 03-12-2005, 03:18 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 69
Posted By Spekkio
Re: Stealing the blinds in NLHE

In a cash game, the blinds aren't worth stealing usually. First of all, at a full 10 person table, it's rare that it will get to you on the dealer unraised. Secondly, the blinds are so small it's...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 03-12-2005, 03:11 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 87
Posted By Spekkio
Re: Pushing back with an overpair

There is plenty of value in pushing back against a bluff or semi bluff.

Say flop comes Qd, Jd, 4d

You hold AdJc

Your opponent bets out into this pot (you know he is bluffing cuz he ALWAYS...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 03-11-2005, 11:22 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 78
Posted By Spekkio
Re: Small Stakes NL winrates really this high?

The swings are greater. That 10xBB can easily turn into -10xbb in a day, a week, a month, etc.
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 03-11-2005, 05:28 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 44
Posted By Spekkio
Re: Flush Draw on the Bubble... is there a \"correct\" play?

He has a pair of kings and puts you on a flush draw. You can push with your 12 outs, or you could play conservative and fold. I think for sure he's holding onto his TP.
Forum: Poker Theory 03-11-2005, 02:27 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 87
Posted By Spekkio
Re: Probability question

Could someone please explain to me why 87s wins more often than 65s, and why 65s ties more often than 87s?

A. Because if you hold 65s, there is a higher chance that you'll play the board. With...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 48

 
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