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Forum: The Stock Market 11-29-2005, 01:50 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 89
Posted By squiffy
Re: \"The Corporation\" Theoretical question

Well, this is already done, on an informal basis, by poker players who are selling a piece of their action in a tournament. Though that is also a form of insurance or risk-spreading.

As an...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-25-2005, 04:15 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 223
Posted By squiffy
Re: Take a Walk in My Shoes

I don't think this is a good time to invest in real estate. The market is quite high, way too high in many places, and interest rates are rising.

And if you are going to buy and manage something...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-16-2005, 03:45 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 76
Posted By squiffy
World Economy v. Poker??? Zero-Sum????

According to Fortune magazine interview with Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, both state very emphatically that world economy is NOT a zero sum game.

So can we please stop saying comparing the...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-04-2005, 01:53 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 38
Posted By squiffy
Ameritrade vs. CDs

Ameritrade was barely paying 1% a year on cash balances.

And my Bank of America savings was barely paying 1% a year, if that.

My friend suggested I put money in CDs with a bank at 3-4%. But the...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-04-2005, 12:50 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 81
Posted By squiffy
NOK revisited

Bought NOK at 15.71 avg price on 8/16/05. Sold yesterday 11/2/05 at 17.10. Invested 47,132.97 and made 4,153.89 from the stock and 566.48 from selling the Oct. call at 17.50 strike. Profit of about...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-03-2005, 01:08 AM
Replies: 1
NOK
Views: 77
Posted By squiffy
NOK

Bought 3000 shares of NOK. 1000 shares each on 8/16, 8/19, and 8/24 at an average price of about 15.71. Had about $47,132.97 invested.

Sold covered call for Oct. at strike 17.50 and made about...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-19-2005, 01:03 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 116
Posted By squiffy
Re: 1 month NOOB INVESTING update

I don't believe in the 7-8% loss rule. And I can give you specific examples from past purchases, that first went down, then way up.

ODP, MCD, HD, NOK

Buffett has some specific quotes on how...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-12-2005, 12:18 AM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

hurricane Katrina, the Florida hurricane, earthquake in Pakistan.
Forum: The Stock Market 10-12-2005, 12:17 AM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

Inflation rising, oil prices rising, spending on Iraq war 7 billion per month, Afghanistan 1 billion per month, car sales declining, home sales declining, interest rates rising, inverted yield curve,...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-12-2005, 12:11 AM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

My only worry right now, with WMT, is that we may be headed into a recession. And in 2001,though WMT actually went up at some points during the recession, it eventually ended up lower.

But I am...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-12-2005, 12:07 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 132
Posted By squiffy
Re: Stock Market EV

The pie is not fixed at a constant size. The pie is constantly growing.

That's like saying the population of the U.S. is zero sum. The stock market is NOT a game involving 52 cards in a deck.
Forum: The Stock Market 10-08-2005, 01:23 PM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

Here is my question. Greenspan's comments suggest the economy is strong. But stock market is stagnant or down. And WMT in particular is way down from 60 to 44.

So economy may be strong due to...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-08-2005, 01:17 PM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

I am still trying to figure WMT out.
Clearly a great long term buy. BUt is this the right entry point? Not clear. What if a recession hits.

Note price has been dropping for 1 year and 6 months...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-08-2005, 06:31 AM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

PE is about 17, the lowest in about 8-10 years, since 1995-1997.

Long term future seems favorable with possible expansion in China. But currently most profits come from the U.S. Only 20% of...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-08-2005, 02:22 AM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

I would say on Yahoo, about 90% or more of the posts are not helpful. It's a bit more helpful here. But still, not as many specific stocks discussed, as I would like.
Forum: The Stock Market 10-08-2005, 02:14 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 98
Posted By squiffy
Re: Wealth creation in zero sum games

Completely different. Poker is a game with limited number of players. Chips. Etc. Narrowly defined universe.

New companies can be added to stock market. And amount of money that can be invested in...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-07-2005, 07:54 AM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

What factor or factors most affects a stock's future price on the market? What makes the chart go up, up, up? What makes the price jump?

This is my second question for you. Just to make sure we...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-07-2005, 07:48 AM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

I will probably make about 10-15 separate little posts, as time permits. So please be patient.

First of all, in the long term 10 years/20 years or even ultra long term 30-40 years, WMT will be and...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-07-2005, 07:35 AM
Replies: 31
WMT
Views: 128
Posted By squiffy
Re: WMT

Good post. This is what we need more of. Specific discussions of hard facts, about specific stocks. And you even post some raw data. Let's discuss and please come back to it in 3 months, 6 months, 1...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-07-2005, 07:30 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 51
Posted By squiffy
Re: Avian Flu Impact Preparation

Certain facts are very precise. NOK last year earned say $1 per share. Assuming there was no accounting fraud, that is a precise verifiable fact that persons trading the stock can incorporate into...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-07-2005, 07:19 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 110
Posted By squiffy
Re: Choosing a financial advisor?

It would be very difficult to find a good advisor period. It would be hard to find a good one who would bother to work with such a small portfolio, not really worth his time.

And even if you can...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-07-2005, 07:16 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 110
Posted By squiffy
Re: Choosing a financial advisor?

Most financial advisors probably won't be interested in working with someone with a portfolio under 500K.

You can learn most of what you need to know on your own. In the meantime, put your money...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-07-2005, 07:13 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 74
Posted By squiffy
Re: Um... corporate finance? Taking a course..

First, everyone who wants to be a successful investor should strongly consider taking some classes in basic economics, math, and finance -- to develop their quantitative skills.

But to a large...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-05-2005, 11:23 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 71
Posted By squiffy
Re: Real Estate

Peter Lynch Learn to Earn page 103.

You're right. It's not a good idea to borrow money to buy a home. It's generally not a very good investment.

That 9% figure I quoted is probably impossible...
Forum: The Stock Market 10-05-2005, 10:43 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 309
Posted By squiffy
Re: Is the stock market +EV?

Just semantics. If I inherited 10 million acres of undeveloped American land, rich in natural resources, animals, water, oil, etc., and in a desirable location for urban development, I would have...
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