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Search: Posts Made By: emp1346
Forum: Probability 08-13-2005, 04:15 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 86
Posted By emp1346
Re: Casino odds

umm... well... what kind of games are being offered? and on table games what kind of rake is being taken?

these are pretty important to the consideration of the answer, at least as far as i can...
Forum: Probability 08-11-2005, 03:16 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 123
Posted By emp1346
Re: what is the probability of any 3 cards on flop?

i think what he wanted to know was that the probability of any flop coming out is 1/19600...

so about 0.005% for each flop...
Forum: Probability 08-07-2005, 12:35 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 82
Posted By emp1346
Re: Multiple Flush Draw Possibilities

i don't know where the post is (a search would find it) but it was determined that, on a 4-6 person table, the probability that at least two people have a flush (using both hole cards) by the river...
Forum: Probability 08-06-2005, 08:43 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 93
Posted By emp1346
Re: Eureka! Probability of flopping a straight.

[ QUOTE ]
.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank you SO much for this very, very insightful post... I mean what more can anyone say than "."?

Anyway, as for the code, looks like it [i]should work... Good...
Forum: Poker Theory 08-06-2005, 08:25 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 210
Posted By emp1346
Re: There is an amazing tendency to confuse

ohnonotthat wrote:
[ QUOTE ]

Re the math - I add this since I didn't see it in any of the other posts and there are some who don't know how to calculate it - this one is easy.

[/ QUOTE ]
...
Forum: Probability 08-06-2005, 08:20 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 131
Posted By emp1346
Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave

[ QUOTE ]
People will call with lesser hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

look, i'm not arguing whether the strategy "in general" is a good one...

read the damn original post, will ya? i've now actually...
Forum: Probability 08-06-2005, 08:13 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 215
Posted By emp1346
Re: reliability (no poker content)

[ QUOTE ]
i think uuDevil is on the right track... I simply used the Poisson formula, and got a bit different number, with the probability being ~.0081, resulting in about 23.9, so 24... basically...
Forum: Probability 08-04-2005, 01:15 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 131
Posted By emp1346
Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave

[ QUOTE ]
Interesting. Heres's a quick and dirty analysis.

A premium hand, AA-JJ,AKs,AK is dealt about 3 times per 100 hands. So you would expect somebody to have one at about one of every...
Forum: Probability 08-04-2005, 05:28 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 131
Posted By emp1346
Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i'm just gonna take a real quick stab at this... and this is for posting on the BB, and assuming an average (on a six person table) of 1.5 limpers... also assuming players will...
Forum: Probability 08-04-2005, 05:20 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 85
Posted By emp1346
Re: Odds of hitting flush on turn/river

[ QUOTE ]

57 cards left in deck

[/ QUOTE ]

You mean 47?

And there are many posts that answer this kind of question, such as this one...
Forum: Probability 08-04-2005, 05:00 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 215
Posted By emp1346
Re: reliability (no poker content)

i think uuDevil is on the right track... I simply used the Poisson formula, and got a bit different number, with the probability being ~.0081, resulting in about 23.9, so 24... basically the same...
Forum: Probability 08-04-2005, 04:25 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 84
Posted By emp1346
Re: % within x SDs of mean question

in a standard normal distribution with a mean of zero,

1 SD: .3413 or +/- 1 SD: .6426
2 SD: .4772 or +/- 2 SD: .9544
3 SD: .4987 or +/- 3 SD: .9974

As an additional note, that's...
Forum: Probability 08-03-2005, 01:57 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 83
Posted By emp1346
Re: variance, standard deviation, semi standard deviation

There's this real nifty little internet website called Google (http://www.google.com/)...

You sure seem to post a lot of pointlessness...
Forum: Probability 08-03-2005, 01:54 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 131
Posted By emp1346
Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave

i'm just gonna take a real quick stab at this... and this is for posting on the BB, and assuming an average (on a six person table) of 1.5 limpers... also assuming players will only call with the...
Forum: Beginners Questions 08-03-2005, 01:35 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 115
Posted By emp1346
Re: Holdem is easy.

utmt40: oh god... oh god... i've seen and been a part of some crazy [censored], even stuff with less probability of happening... but man... that's just sick... my sincere condolences...
Forum: Poker Theory 08-03-2005, 01:23 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 210
Posted By emp1346
Re: Longest Run without AA or KK

Firstly, "guestimate" is a horrible, horrible word in any context... /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

As for you run of cards, mathematically, it's extraordinarily unlikely that such a run can last so...
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 11:13 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 113
Posted By emp1346
Re: Question for all you aspiring game theorists...

[ QUOTE ]
Are the B's competing against the other B's as well as this changes the strategy of A as well.

[/ QUOTE ]

while this may not be the same question, i'm curious if yeah, it's a team...
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 08:25 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 133
Posted By emp1346
Re: I just got dealt pocket aces 4 times in a row.

[ QUOTE ]
221^4=10793861to 1 against

[/ QUOTE ]

um... just a heads up... 221^4 is not 10,793,861... that's 221^3...

221^4 is actually 2,385,443,281... to 1....
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 07:43 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 88
Posted By emp1346
Re: Odds of going 200 hands....

[ QUOTE ]
odd you both got the exact same answer but posted at different times

[/ QUOTE ]

at least they both got it right, though!! /images/graemlins/grin.gif
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 07:40 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 92
Posted By emp1346
Re: Odds question

i'm tired and don't feel like reworking the calculation, BUT...

from what i just ran real quick, assuming 4 players and no four-card flushes, the probability that at least two players having a...
Forum: Probability 07-16-2005, 02:25 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 147
Posted By emp1346
Re: An Example from my Probability Class I Need Help w/

I think that yellowjack's original post is close to correct...

Firstly, 52c26 should be the number of ways a deck can be cut in half, and doesn't need to be doubled as this would redundantly count...
Forum: Probability 04-16-2005, 09:06 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 103
Posted By emp1346
Re: behind the glory: hand rankings

subfallen, yes you missed the entire question...

siegmund, i kind of see what you're saying, but at the same time, i don't understand what you mean when you say that certain methods over- or...
Forum: Probability 04-15-2005, 02:09 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 103
Posted By emp1346
behind the glory: hand rankings

so i understand that certain starting hands are better than others, but how is this determined (and supported) mathematically?

forget that it just is, but why is AA better than other hands?
...
Forum: Probability 04-15-2005, 01:35 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 210
Posted By emp1346
Re: you are right

[ QUOTE ]
Almost there. What are the odds? Not the probability [percent of times it will happen] – what are the odds?

[/ QUOTE ]

what are the odds that no matter what anyone responds...
Forum: Probability 04-14-2005, 12:50 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 210
Posted By emp1346
Re: once the cards are shuffled, arent the odds just the same

[ QUOTE ]
0%, because once you've removed the A /images/graemlins/spade.gif there is no A /images/graemlins/spade.gif left in the deck.

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm pretty sure you're A) missing the...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 238

 
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