Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Search Forums
Reload this Page Search Results
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Page 1 of 8 1 23 Last »
Showing results 1 to 25 of 180
Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: aloiz
Forum: Probability 08-26-2005, 10:20 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 91
Posted By aloiz
Re: flush over flush or set over set - which is rarer?

Given that two players have suited hole cards of the same suit and they both see the river, the odds that they both make the flush:

C(9,3)*C(39,2)/C(48,5) + C(9,4)*39/C(48,5) + C(9,5)/C(48,5) =~...
Forum: Probability 08-25-2005, 12:59 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 88
Posted By aloiz
Re: AA v KK v QQ at a five handed table

If you want the odds that you have AA v KK v QQ v XX v XX where XX does not include QQ-AA then the following will work:

I split the equation up into two halves. P(3 players have AA, KK, QQ) *...
Forum: Probability 08-20-2005, 12:18 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 99
Posted By aloiz
Re: Odds to hit a straight flush

2 is the number of ways A2s and AKs can make a str-flush
2*2 is the number of ways 23s and KQs can make str-flush
etc..

It would have been clearer if I had written it out like:

2/13 *...
Forum: Probability 08-19-2005, 04:35 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 83
Posted By aloiz
Re: I didn\'t pay attention in school, anyone want to help with some math?

Use search function. Here's a link to get you started.

link (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showthreaded.php?Cat=&Number=3039640&page=&view=&sb=5&o=&vc=1)

aloiz
Forum: Probability 08-19-2005, 09:44 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 99
Posted By aloiz
Re: Odds to hit a straight flush

(2 + 2*2 + 2*3 + 7*4)/ 13 / C(50,3) =~ .000157 or 6369:1


aloiz
Forum: Probability 08-11-2005, 12:56 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 85
Posted By aloiz
Re: 6h 5h improving to trips or better on the flop (hold\'em)?

[2*3*47 (trips or boats) + 2 (quads) + C(11,3) (flushes incl str-flushes) + (4*4*4*4-4) (straights not incl str-flushes)]/C(50,3) = .03577

Close enough, did you forget to round?

aloiz
Forum: Probability 08-08-2005, 04:43 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 96
Posted By aloiz
Re: Omaha Preflop Probabilities (Can someone check my math please)

Need to assume that xx does not contain an A,2, and in the last two cases a 3 for the following to be correct.

getting A2xx =
4 * 4 * C(44,2)/C(52,4) =~ .056

anyone at a 10 person table...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 08-04-2005, 01:58 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 74
Posted By aloiz
Re: math problem

I just realized that since an out-shuffle is just like an in-suffle with two extra cards the number of out-shuffles to return a deck to its original order would be mod(2^x-1,n+1) = 0

aloiz
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 08-04-2005, 12:51 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 74
Posted By aloiz
Re: math problem

This only works for in-shuffles (123456 -> 142536 -> 154326) with an even number of chips/cards.

Let n be the number of things shuffled and x be the number of in-shuffles necessary to return the...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 07-27-2005, 06:13 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 43
Posted By aloiz
Re: Excel Deleting Problem

Just do a multi-select on all the X's, select delete, and then shift cells left. One deletion.


aloiz
Forum: Probability 07-27-2005, 06:05 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 84
Posted By aloiz
Re: \"Guts\" strategy

22100 possible hands
52 ways to make 3-of-kind
48 ways to make str flush (should be ranked higher than 3 of a kind)
720 ways to make a str (excluding str flush)
1096 ways to make a flush...
Forum: Probability 07-22-2005, 05:59 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 126
Posted By aloiz
Re: Inclusion/Exclusion Question

Think this is exact against three opponents but no guarantees.

1st term: C(3,1) * 11 * 6 / C(50,2)
-
2nd term: ( C(3,2) * C(11,2) * 6^2 * 2 / (50!/(2*2*46!)) + C(3,2) * 11 / C(50,4) )
+
3rd...
Forum: Probability 01-11-2005, 02:40 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 298
Posted By aloiz
Re: Probability of AA,KK,QQ and JJ.....

Actually you don't need the inclusion exclusion principle because we're only calculating the odds of four players having one of four hands, so we don't need to account for the possibility of double...
Forum: Probability 01-10-2005, 01:48 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 92
Posted By aloiz
Re: Holdem: You have wired Kings, Opp. has wired Aces, What are the odds?

The odds that someone else at a 10 person table has AA given that you have KK = 9*C(4,2)/C(50,2) - C(9,2)/C(50,4) =~ .0439

The odds that you are dealt KK and someone else has AA = 6/C(52,2) *...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 10-04-2004, 01:28 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 37
Posted By aloiz
Re: When full ring 15-30 gets short

I play them pretty regularly. My experience is that you'll find greater extremes of skill than at any other type of game on party. There are some players who are ten times better than me, and...
Forum: Probability 09-20-2004, 10:19 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 84
Posted By aloiz
Re: A question that has probably been asked a million times .....

You can either calculate the odds of hitting your flush on the turn/river, or calculate the odds of missing your flush on both the turn and river, and subtract that from 1.

P(making flush) =...
Forum: Probability 09-16-2004, 03:47 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 82
Posted By aloiz
Re: Probability of being dealt an A and a Heart in 2 cards

P(Ah) + P(3 other aces and a heart that's not the Ah) = 51/C(52,2) + 3*12/C(52,2) =~ 6.561%

aloiz
Forum: Probability 09-16-2004, 11:26 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 125
Posted By aloiz
Re: Non-Poker Related Probability Question

He has a 62% chance of winning any given point, not the match itself.

Not completly sure if this is right but I get:
.62^21 + Sum(.62^21*.38^i*C(20+i,i),i,1,20) = 94.1%


aloiz
Forum: Probability 09-07-2004, 10:52 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 121
Posted By aloiz
Re: probability question from Sklansky book

Yea I was saying one thing and thinking another. Should be n * 7/C(45,2) as there is only 7 ways to make an Axs combination with 5 cards of that suit already gone.

aloiz
Forum: Probability 09-03-2004, 12:14 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 121
Posted By aloiz
Re: probability question from Sklansky book

If you have a king high flush with three to the flush on the final board, the odds that someone has an A high flush against n players = n * C(8,2)/C(45,2) =~ .028n


aloiz
Forum: Probability 09-02-2004, 01:50 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 82
Posted By aloiz
Re: Am I ahead?

The problem with your line of thinking is that it has very little use in a real world situation. Players don't value every hand equally; therefore, the odds that you are ahead in the givin scenario...
Forum: Probability 09-02-2004, 01:42 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 121
Posted By aloiz
Re: probability question from Sklansky book

He's correct if there was no other information specified. At a 10 person table preflop the odds that a player will be deal Axs in a given suit = 10*12/combin(52,2) =~.0905.

aloiz
Forum: Probability 08-27-2004, 03:45 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 116
Posted By aloiz
Re: Odds of set over set occuring?

Yup, on or after the flop.


aloiz
Forum: Probability 08-27-2004, 02:47 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 116
Posted By aloiz
Re: Odds of set over set occuring?

Yes, I was thinking of limit and not no-limit. Your're right, in NL you have much greater implied odds so that call would obviously be correct.

aloiz
Forum: Probability 08-27-2004, 02:29 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 116
Posted By aloiz
Re: Odds of set over set occuring?

Not including the times that one of you hits four of a kind, the odds that your opponent makes a set by the river given that you made a set on the flop and your opponent has a pocket pair = 2 *...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 180
Page 1 of 8 1 23 Last »

 
Forum Jump

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:35 AM.

Contact Us - www.twoplustwo.com - Archive - Top

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.