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Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 04:56 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Re: Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

well this is based on your numbers being a certain ratio...but most people, when on a very bad streak, will not play 100% and thus will be lower than what they think their ratios are...remember, this...

Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 04:41 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Re: Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

53 buyins was biggest drop in 1000 sims of 10k sets

29.74 was the average, so 30 buy-ins is pretty safe, but 55 is better

Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 03:26 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Re: Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected

i don't have time to do the whole chart right now...but if u wanna tell me your 1/2/3 ratio, i'll tell you what your average expected biggest drop is in 10k sngs

Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 03:02 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Re: Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected

oh ok

that's what my original function did..it got the lowest point the br dropped from the original br in 10,000 sngs...with 15/14/13 it was 23 or something

u can use aleo's to get 13.33% ror...

Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 02:45 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Re: Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected

sounds like a challenge

Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 02:38 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Re: Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected

rois can be made up of different ratios and most people aren't even on 1/2/3...some are more aggressive on bubble and get more 1s than 2/3...some are just more aggressive once itm so get lots of 1/3...

Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 02:17 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Re: Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected

yeah, a risk of ruin for when you withdraw the profits instead of leaving them in like the normal calculation

i'll run this later and do a table of %chance of losing X buyins with a/b/c...

Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 12:24 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Re: Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected

so just track the count of each specific drop amount and return the % for each?

btw, 24.46 was the average drop for 1000 sims of 10k sets

Forum: One-table Tournaments

08-03-2005, 12:17 PM

Replies: 17

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

Posted By Nicholasp27

Updated Simulation of Biggest Buyin Drop Expected: 43 (15/14/13 ratio)

my previous code had gotten maximum negative value that the br could dip, which is basically risk of ruin because i made a fundamental mistake

i've revised it and it now gets the biggest drop over...

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