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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 12-15-2005, 12:50 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 12
Posted By Tater10
Correlation

Is correlation and the correlation coefficient the same thing?

data i = 7,8,10,9,5,4
data j = 8,7,13,7,5,7

I have a modern portfolio theory book which states that the correlation coefficient =...
Forum: Probability 11-12-2005, 03:32 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 9
Posted By Tater10
Re: New game on British Telly - Deal or No Deal

uh oh... this looks like a monty hall problem. I dont watch the show, and I'm not 100% clear how the game works from reading the website, but if the game show 'forces' boxes, i'd take EV of whatever...
Forum: The Stock Market 11-03-2005, 08:56 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 8
Posted By Tater10
Re: Commodities (Gasoline)

Unleaded gasoline closed today at $1.6268 per gallon, december 2005 delivery. 1 contract is 42,000 gallons, or $68,325.60. The difference you pay from the pump is delivery, additives, markup, and...
Forum: Probability 10-29-2005, 11:58 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 16
Posted By Tater10
Re: Can one overcome a -EV game?

If you break the casino, you lose your comp buffet, -EV.
Forum: Probability 10-27-2005, 06:13 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 11
Posted By Tater10
Minimum variance portfolio...

I can't figure out the minimum variance of situations like this:

Security A Standard Deviation 14%/year.
Security B Standard Deviation 8%/year.
Security C Standard Deviation 10%/year.
...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-26-2005, 05:30 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 3
Posted By Tater10
Re: Running Ice Cold. Is This A Normal Downswing or Has The Plane Cras

[ QUOTE ]
I truly believe I am a solid player.

[/ QUOTE ]

How would you rate your driving abilites? Above average or below average? There are very few people who would rank themselves as...
Forum: Internet Gambling 09-14-2005, 11:16 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 33
Posted By Tater10
Re: For those that get \"Paypal\" and \"Ebay\" emails

thanks for the link in the OP. I put my info on the site, and it told me my account will not be frozen.

actually, i like putting in fake usernames with passwords as "GoF***Yourself"
Forum: Probability 09-10-2005, 11:10 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 11
Posted By Tater10
Football pool probabilites...

Maybe i'm missing something.

I am in a football pool that you pick with lines.

Assume there are 4 players, and 4 games, and the probability of winning each individual game is 50%.
...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-07-2005, 10:22 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 9
Posted By Tater10
Re: Best book for parlays (betpop)

Has anyone ever used betpop? I cant seem to find a review on them either.

thanks for the info
Forum: Sports Betting 09-07-2005, 09:26 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 9
Posted By Tater10
Best book for parlays

I'm in a "parlay pool" with some friends of mine.

I thought that parlays would use 10 cent lines that pinnacle used for parlays (-104, -107, etc.) However, when i click on "parlays", everything...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 09-06-2005, 05:03 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 3
Posted By Tater10
Re: $55: 3rd time in a row Villian raised me as BB.

I play the $33's, but I let this stuff go. I get even by pushing any 2 to the guy(s) on my left.
Forum: Probability 09-05-2005, 01:23 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 10
Posted By Tater10
Re: Anyone ever play the game 31?

Here is the "random thoughts" you were asking for...

I played a game called schwimmen (sp). Very similar

http://www.pagat.com/commerce/schwim.html
Forum: Internet Gambling 08-30-2005, 05:41 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 14
Posted By Tater10
Re: PokerRoom Sit N Go Promotion

I agree, hence my post.

I'd rather have a kick in the head than 11th.
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-30-2005, 05:17 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 3
Posted By Tater10
PokerRoom SnG challenge.

Just heard about the PokerRoom SnG challenge via e-mail. (Top 10 players who play 9/3-9/5 get to play in a $20,000 SnG on 9/10, everyone gets at least $1000). Top 100 get a PokerRoom beanie.

I...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-27-2005, 12:11 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 3
Posted By Tater10
Re: Heads up pocket 66, call the all in, right move?

doh! forgot the AT-A2, not to mention forgetting you would have 500+ chips if you lost.

that would change the #'s to 54% vs 46% in the OP's favor. I'd call then, unless the villian was extremely...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 08-27-2005, 11:43 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 3
Posted By Tater10
Re: Heads up pocket 66, call the all in, right move?

I guess i agree with sharpie.

The OP states this as a pure math problem.

66 vs AA-22, AK-AJ, KQ-KJ, QJ.
I get this as 47.4% vs 52.6%. I will assume payouts of $45/$27/$18.

EV folding...
Forum: Probability 08-24-2005, 12:47 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By Tater10
Re: odds terminology, does a bet pay 1:1 or 2:1

Odds are expressed win to lose, or win : lose

If you go play horses, a horse might be 3 to 1. You could win $3 or lose $1. You get back $4 when you bet $1, but that is only because the track...
Forum: Probability 08-21-2005, 07:20 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By Tater10
Re: Game theory football

In the few times i have actually played this, i have done well because of what you said. People are pretty predictable.
Forum: Probability 08-21-2005, 07:16 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By Tater10
Re: Game theory football

This is a copy and paste from my excel spreadsheet. I hope it's legible.

Here is what i have for each down. You would want to be defense, only by .0029

Down / yards / O_Run / O_Pass / D_Run /...
Forum: Probability 08-21-2005, 04:59 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By Tater10
Re: Game theory football

Yeah, your numbers match up with mine if the offense were to win with a 12 yd pass on 4th and 2. I found the game to be better with a loss for the offense. (actually, i got +.00003 EV for the...
Forum: Probability 08-20-2005, 05:25 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By Tater10
Re: Game theory football

I was reading the David Romer paper about going for it on 4th down, and how NFL teams are too conservative when I thought back to my football game. There was an article written in the 2+2 magazine...
Forum: Probability 08-20-2005, 10:22 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By Tater10
Game theory football

Here is a stupid game i invented when i began reading about game theory a couple years ago. I believe i have found optimal ev for this game, and would like to see if anyone else has the same...
Forum: Computer Technical Help 08-01-2005, 03:35 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 8
Posted By Tater10
Re: Need help building poker laptop

I just bought a refurbished dell inspiron 6000. I searched the refurbished dell's for the lowest price laptop with WUXGA resolution (1900x1200). Found one for $600 ($680 total with s&h & taxes). ...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 07-30-2005, 11:39 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3
Posted By Tater10
Forum: One-table Tournaments 07-27-2005, 01:17 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 3
Posted By Tater10
Re: How much to raise with 1500 stacks?

I'm having the same problems at pokerroom.

Hero gets AA 1st hand of the tourney, raises to 125. 2 callers.

Flop 9h 8h 8c.

Hero bets $200, Villan #1 folds, Villian #2 raises all in. Hero...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 96

 
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