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Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-30-2005, 01:26 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 14
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

[ QUOTE ]
If you push, BB is folding effectively 100% of the time.

eastbay

[/ QUOTE ]

except this time, right?

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-30-2005, 01:23 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 14
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

[ QUOTE ]
Good analysis AggieYank. This type of thinking is much more valuable than EV estimates spit out by SnGPT, which are too sensitive to assumptions (GIGO) and can't cover all the variables....
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-30-2005, 12:25 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 14
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

[ QUOTE ]

Well, first of all I'm half asleep and misread the HH. I thought CO pushed. /images/graemlins/blush.gif /images/graemlins/blush.gif


[/ QUOTE ]

That's ok, I thought he minraised....
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-30-2005, 12:12 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 14
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

[ QUOTE ]

I don't understand how you can expand CO range when he is pushing 17+BB into the big stack.


[/ QUOTE ]

Without any more information I consider the raise to be weakness (I'm...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-30-2005, 12:07 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 14
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

[ QUOTE ]
This is an auto fold. Yes, you are well ahead of his range, but you have to understand that when you lose here you are losing $11.50 in equity. When you win here you only have $15.00...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-30-2005, 11:29 AM
Replies: 36
Views: 14
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

[ QUOTE ]
PP $22, I plugged in CO pushing instead of raising, SnGPT says I should be folding QQ to a maniacal push range, and KK to a loose push range....what do you guys think?


PartyPoker, Big...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-28-2005, 09:17 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 29
Posted By eastbay
Re: What would you with $20K?

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[ QUOTE ]
very true eastbay, financial advisors are for the dumb and lazy

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On the flip side, people like Suze Ormon seem to have made an entire (probably...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-28-2005, 02:57 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 29
Posted By eastbay
Re: What would you with $20K?

[ QUOTE ]
very true eastbay, financial advisors are for the dumb and lazy

[/ QUOTE ]

On the flip side, people like Suze Ormon seem to have made an entire (probably lucrative) career out of...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-27-2005, 10:58 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 29
Posted By eastbay
Re: What would you with $20K?

[ QUOTE ]
East,

Mutual funds managers dont dispense personal financial advice, they just do a job managing a portfolio in accordance with the mutual fund's stated profile and objectives.

CFPs...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-27-2005, 07:43 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 29
Posted By eastbay
Re: What would you with $20K?

[ QUOTE ]
Anyone really smart values expert advisors. It's really that simple.


[/ QUOTE ]

Wasn't that the justification for why mutual funds were supposed to be the place to put your money...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-27-2005, 01:58 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By eastbay
Re: Fact or Fiction?

[ QUOTE ]
A world class SNG player could sustain a positive ROI in $10 SNG's without looking at his cards, provided his opponents didn't know he was doing it.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think it would be...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-27-2005, 11:15 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 9
Posted By eastbay
Re: I don\'t get it. WTF could I possibly doing so wrong?

[ QUOTE ]
It's not a down streak. It's not bad beats. It's a statistical problem. The following numbers are close. Not exact. But close.

Last ~5000 $20/$30 tournaments, ROI ~= 24%

Last...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-20-2005, 04:02 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 8
Posted By eastbay
Re: Online Futures

[ QUOTE ]
I've visited the CBOT and CME sites and have names of several online futures brokers, but I don't personally know anybody who has first hand experience with any of the sites.

Timely and...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-19-2005, 12:16 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 26
Posted By eastbay
Re: Who are the best posters to search for

This dates me but I learned most of what I know from Greg Raymer for practical strategy concepts and how to think about a hand while you're playing it. I don't even think there was a separate...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-17-2005, 09:17 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 30
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT Question

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[ QUOTE ]
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Do I only need to type in people who act after me? Does the EV change because people have folded before me? Why or why not?

[/ QUOTE ]

First thing to note is...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-17-2005, 07:36 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 30
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT Question

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First thing to note is that you can read in from a hand history file from Party or Stars; this can save a lot of time.

[/ QUOTE ]
Can you read in a hand that is red in the...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-17-2005, 07:06 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 30
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT Question

[ QUOTE ]
Do I only need to type in people who act after me? Does the EV change because people have folded before me? Why or why not?

[/ QUOTE ]

First thing to note is that you can read in...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-17-2005, 06:33 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 3
Posted By eastbay
Re: Dealing with losing money

[ QUOTE ]
Good.

I don't know you, but if I had to guess it's not really the money that bugs you. And I've swung a lot more than $12k, so I know what that it is like; for me anyway.

[/ QUOTE...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-17-2005, 02:46 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 2
Posted By eastbay
Re: Just got SNGPT today - 82o ITM

[ QUOTE ]
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t300 (3 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Hero (t1205)
BB (t5350)
Button (t1445)
...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 12-16-2005, 12:33 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 8
Posted By eastbay
Re: SNGPT and KS hand range %s

The middle suited connectors are relatively strong against a very strong range, and relatively weak against a broad range.

This may seem confusing at first. Take a simple example:

76s vs...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-15-2005, 11:43 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 13
Posted By eastbay
Re: The Trend

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[ QUOTE ]
If you can't describe it, I submit that you don't actually know what you're doing,

[/ QUOTE ]

I did describe (how I use it) in my first reply in this thread. Maybe...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-15-2005, 11:20 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 13
Posted By eastbay
Re: The Trend

[ QUOTE ]

I've stood in trading pits or have been staring into a trading screen for close to 20 years and if there was a mathematical solution the business I am in wouldn't exist.

[/ QUOTE ]
...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-15-2005, 11:16 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 13
Posted By eastbay
Re: The Trend

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There's no magic formula for playing limi hold'em either, but it's certainly more science than art

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What about no limit? Certain areas of trading are...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-15-2005, 11:06 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 13
Posted By eastbay
Re: The Trend

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But this type of trading is more of an artform than a science.

[/ QUOTE ]
This sounds a lot like "I don't really know what I'm doing and there's a good chance I'm...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-15-2005, 11:04 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 13
Posted By eastbay
Re: The Trend

[ QUOTE ]
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What is the actual criteria that separates uptrend from non-uptrend?


[/ QUOTE ]

It depends? What is your timeframe?
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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