Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-22-2005, 02:28 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 64
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-22-2005, 02:26 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 81
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-22-2005, 02:18 AM
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Replies: 29
Views: 163
Re: On a 30,000 hand downswing.....
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Nice post.
How much would these numbers change as the SD increases? (too lazy/tired to run all the maths right now) Or, what I'm really asking is what would these numbers be for me, at...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-21-2005, 10:30 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 163
Re: On a 30,000 hand downswing.....
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The chance of a moderate (4PTBB/100h) winning player being at -800BB after 30k hands is 1:13821 (3.8SD off expectation). Likewise, the chance of someone who is -800BB after 30k hands is...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-21-2005, 10:09 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 163
Re: On a 30,000 hand downswing.....
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there are statistical ways to answer your question. If you want, i can calculate the % chance you've been playing losing poker over that stretch vs just being unlucky, and also the...
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Forum: Rake Back
12-20-2005, 03:59 AM
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Replies: 66
Views: 1,014
Re: December VIP offers anyone?
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This is good enough for me to wait out the month.
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This sounds like bait-n-switch to me. I expect that party isn't paying out because they don't have to to keep you guys....
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-19-2005, 09:43 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 52
Re: Weak with a set
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Turn: ($10.85) A/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero ???????
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There are ten cards that improve your hand. Out of 46...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-18-2005, 06:47 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 89
Re: set vs unknown raiser nl100
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Easy push, if he's got an overset then he misplayed this hand.
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If he's got an overset, then he's getting all of OP's stack if OP continues betting. Top and second set have...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-18-2005, 06:19 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 150
Re: Lay Down a Full House? - MY THOUGHTS
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So, faced with these options, my thinking is that he most likely has 99 or 98. 98 I can beat, 99 I'm toast.
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I am pretty tired atm and I've looked it up and...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 07:57 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 66
Re: should i move back to $25?
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do you feel a 14 ptbb/100 winrate is sustainable at $25? the players almost seem to want to get stacked here; there is definately a measurable difference between this level and $50.
[/...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 06:13 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 44
Re: Is a check behind saving money here?
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i was also against small stacks, and i felt as though i might be getting milked by one of them...
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If I read this right, they've got $12 and $18 left to a $67 pot. I think...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 06:00 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 46
Re: midset river decision
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When you go for the checkraise you have to raise more.
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By raising to $9, you are asking them to call $6 into a $19 pot, which is callable esp by donks that like chasing...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 05:51 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 64
Re: Online situation: results and questions...
Yeah, crosspost to the Zoo. Cuz I could be wrong.
Neteller charges 2% for member-to-member transfers. The cheapest transfer would be in Party itself. If you can only transfer half of the money in...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 05:48 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 66
Re: should i move back to $25?
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winning 1 buy-in per hour is reasonable if 4-5 tabling.
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That's 50 PTBB over 250-300 hands, or 17-20 PTBB/100h. I've seen some say that 10-12-14 is sustainable at $25, but...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 03:03 AM
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Replies: 49
Views: 186
Re: Watch Waxie Move Up
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What's weird is, that sounds a lot like this:
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Heh, I lost some posts at some point, so I guess I didn't read the whole thread. /images/graemlins/smile.gif
Back to your...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 02:32 AM
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Replies: 49
Views: 186
Re: Watch Waxie Move Up
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Because it is easily dominated against as few as 5 other players and can be very difficult and costly to play OOP.
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I guess my point (and this wasn't really under...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 12:16 AM
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Replies: 89
Views: 313
Re: December goals post
1. Play 30k hands
2. Make 8+ PTBB/100 for those 20k.
3. Stop folding so much.
4. Stop betting so much.
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-17-2005, 12:09 AM
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Replies: 49
Views: 186
Re: Watch Waxie Move Up
(semi-hijack)
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The thing is: you can begin to get an inkling that AJo will lose you money raising it UTG after you play 20,000-40,000 hands. Or, you can accept that if many of the Mods...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-16-2005, 04:33 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 46
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-16-2005, 04:26 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 56
Re: This is why I love AK OOP
He has one of two things: (1) a hand that crushes you, or (2) crap, and he thinks you raised PF with 78s or something and he's trying to look you up. I really don't understand #2 but I make a good...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-16-2005, 04:18 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 224
I hate Jacks
Jacks have been giving me trouble lately. Either I take the blinds, or maybe get one caller and take that, or else I bleed when someone has trips or hits an overcard or whatever. I feel like treating...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-15-2005, 02:00 AM
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Replies: 16
Views: 280
Re: An old post
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6. limping on the button with a hand that wont make the nuts
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Well any hand can potentially make the nuts (7 deuce flops quad 7s), but I believe what he means...
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-15-2005, 01:51 AM
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Replies: 11
Views: 65
Re: PokerAce or Game time?
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Which is the one that shows you immediately villians hands after they fold??
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pokerace.
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-15-2005, 01:42 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 60
Re: KK - In Search of a Less Sucky Line
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The way to make $ in poker is to know what's in your hand, and figure out what's in your opponent's, and bet accordingly. A pot-sized flop bet will get you the info you seek.
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Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em
12-15-2005, 01:38 AM
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Replies: 31
Views: 145
Re: 67s - 100NL - i probably play bad
You're 54% to hit either your straight or flush. Unless he's got A/images/graemlins/diamond.gifK/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, you're in good shape. You're a favorite against AA and KK. 51.62%...
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