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Forum: Poker Theory 06-05-2005, 04:33 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 173
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Long shots with odds

My original thoughts to Ciaffone's statement made me stop reading his book before I made it to the second page. I thought it was very stupid. After I went back and read the whole book I realized...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-05-2005, 04:14 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 173
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Long shots with odds

[ QUOTE ]
That is ridiculous. You are a 2:1 dog if you are all-in. You aren't all-in, you have a much lower chance to be ahead on the flop, you don't know your opponent has exactly AK (rather than...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-05-2005, 03:18 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 173
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Long shots with odds

[ QUOTE ]
To refocus back on the oringinal post.

I think the most intersting issue brought up here is that implied odds are not a concrete as many people would like them to be. It's very easy to...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-05-2005, 12:47 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 173
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Long shots with odds

[ QUOTE ]
Passing up those better-than-even-money situations is playing poorly.

[/ QUOTE ]

Here is one example of many possible slightly better than even money bets I would pass on.
Say you...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-05-2005, 12:29 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 173
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Long shots with odds

[ QUOTE ]

By the Kelly Criterion, you should be willing to wager up to 1/43 of your bankroll on such a bet. This is a safer bet than playing a hand of poker from the start. If you are willing to...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-04-2005, 04:16 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 173
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Long shots with odds

[ QUOTE ]
Regardless, if you're talking about wether your bankroll can survive a loss in a particular game, the game is beyond your bankroll, and you shouldn't be there in the first place. If you...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-03-2005, 03:22 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 199
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Cold Calling

And sen,the topic isn't why is cold calling a heinous act, he simply said he understands aggression but it seems like there are times when cold calling would be correct, and he is right.
Forum: Poker Theory 06-03-2005, 02:58 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 199
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Cold Calling

[ QUOTE ]
I believe the initial subject of the thread was the guy who asked "why, when people describe their play, do they frequently cite cold calling as such a henious act.

Preflop play is not...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-03-2005, 02:19 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 199
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Cold Calling

[ QUOTE ]
In limit poker, cold calling probably causes people to lose more money than any other single mistake. It's not just the 2 SB that you put into the pot when cold calling a raise, its the...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-03-2005, 12:45 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 173
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Long shots with odds

Rozez, I don't think the problem is my bankroll but I do see your point.

Aaron I agree that thin draws will keep your opponent off balance, but if your opponent really knows the odds and he knows...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-03-2005, 03:24 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 173
Posted By jackfrost
Long shots with odds

I was reading Ciaffone's nl/pl book and have become confused about something. On the first page he gives a Limit scenario where a player has a gut shot and his implied odds are somewhere around...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-03-2005, 03:05 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 199
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Cold Calling

Keep on raising calling stations clayton. Don't get me wrong, I very rarely cold call, i'm just saying there are times when it is correct.
Forum: Poker Theory 06-03-2005, 02:18 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 199
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Cold Calling

Heres when I think cold calling preflop is correct.
1. I've got a small pair and i'm getting good odds on my set. I think a 3bet here would narrow the field and actually make my odds worse.
2. ...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-05-2005, 05:31 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 169
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Do the \"Odds with 2 Cards To Come\" Have Any Usefulness?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
One great example is when you are on a flush draw against many opponents. The pot is laying you better than 1:2 at that point so every extra flop raise you get is...
Forum: Beginners Questions 02-04-2005, 08:09 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 83
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Player seating vs a looser table

I was looking something up and came across Caro's MCU tip#13 - Sit to the left of loose players. He says "sit to the left of players who either pose the biggest threat or who supply the most money."...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-04-2005, 07:18 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 169
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Do the \"Odds with 2 Cards To Come\" Have Any Usefulness?

I play mostly limit but i'm guessing in NL there are many more situations where this number is important.
Forum: Poker Theory 02-04-2005, 07:12 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 169
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Do the \"Odds with 2 Cards To Come\" Have Any Usefulness?

One great example is when you are on a flush draw against many opponents. The pot is laying you better than 1:2 at that point so every extra flop raise you get is profit.
Forum: Poker Theory 02-04-2005, 04:41 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 123
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Missing the flop with AK and AQ

KC we see this quite a bit differently. If you are up against players that are going to the river regardless of your play than raising or betting will cost you money over time if you play against...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-04-2005, 02:10 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 123
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Missing the flop with AK and AQ

Without having the types of player you are up against it's very difficult to answer this question well.


1. Bet, and be prepared to bet on the turn without improving. An uncordinated board and...
Forum: Beginners Questions 02-04-2005, 01:07 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 83
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Player seating vs a looser table

Thats not exactly what I was looking for but I do appreciate the reply.

I'm not sure which book i was reading, maybe Harrington on hold'em or Supersytem2 but somebody said that you need to pay...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-04-2005, 12:41 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 192
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Theoretical justification for limping

That pretty much means that for that play to be profitable you need a better chance of stealing the blinds. My blind defense increases against a player who raises every time they come in in late/mid...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-04-2005, 12:19 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 192
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Theoretical justification for limping

Certain hands like small pairs and suited connectors are more profitable against larger fields. Raising narrows the field which is counterproductive.
But i guess it depend on the players. I open...
Forum: Beginners Questions 02-03-2005, 10:29 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 83
Posted By jackfrost
Player seating vs a looser table

I have two senarios and i'm curious which you find to be more profitable. Both games are limit holdem with ten players.

The first table you have two loose passive players to your left and one to...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-03-2005, 08:30 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 142
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Multi Table Internet Poker....Profitable?

Do you think six is more profitable than 4 and do you play across 2 sites?
Forum: Poker Theory 02-03-2005, 08:23 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 142
Posted By jackfrost
Re: Multi Table Internet Poker....Profitable?

Playing multiple tables will teach an impatient player how to play properly. It also allows you to clear bonus's quickly. A&B are both true. A 500 hand cold streak playing 4 tables is only 2...
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