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Search: Posts Made By: ironman007
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 01-16-2004, 06:44 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 265
Posted By ironman007
Re: Folding KK On The Bubble - Good? Bad? Ugly?

Huh? This is an obvious call, you have no chance of winning if you can't pull the trigger and call with KK here.
Let's assume you win 80% of the time if you call with this hand.

Your Ev of...
Forum: Other Poker Games 01-06-2004, 05:55 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 80
Posted By ironman007
Re: Omaha Hi/Lo: lost a bet, or made a bet?

Peter,
This really is a judgement on how well you think the SB plays. Without knowing this, I would have played the hand just as you did. You bet the flop which most likely means you have a K. ...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-29-2003, 03:24 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 80
Posted By ironman007
Re: More Lessons: Of course Greg is right again.

I guess the big assumption here is how does the UTG player play with a small stack. We are guessing since we are not at the table observing the play. You assume he is very desperate and I don't...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-28-2003, 04:20 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 80
Posted By ironman007
Re: Newbe Opinion, I agree

I agree with the Newbe, there is no need to gamble with 88 in this spot, since I think it's safe to assume your a coin flip at best with this hand in this position and you could be a big dog with...
Forum: Other Poker Games 12-24-2003, 01:54 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 176
Posted By ironman007
Re: BOB\'S ADVICE IS RIGHT

Buzz,

Your correct that being suited is very important in this game and yes 234Ks is slightly profitable and 234K ns is not. However, I'm answering this question in the context of a new player in...
Forum: Probability 12-23-2003, 12:48 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 95
Posted By ironman007
Re: Lucky 7\'s

I'll help. /images/graemlins/cool.gif I've played at Foxwoods and yes the number of desks is important. While more decks hurt the card counter they help making 3 7's more likely.
Foxwoods is...
Forum: Other Poker Games 12-22-2003, 07:00 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 176
Posted By ironman007
BOB\'S ADVICE IS RIGHT

I actually think Bob's advice is very good and don't play 234K, I don't play much low limit but this is not a scooping hand and will cost you money. Sure you can dump it when the Ace doesn't hit but...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2003, 04:41 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 66
Posted By ironman007
Re: How to play this hand

Easy one, Chip leader playing 70% of the hands if he always raises the mininum then with QQ I'm all in /images/graemlins/cool.gif
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-22-2003, 01:33 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 42
Posted By ironman007
Re: NL $30SNG - KK hand, Please critique

Yes,
Much bigger bet before the flop. I don't understand the minimum bet raise before the flop, I have seen AA lose so many times because of it. I think a $200 bet preflop is about right.
Forum: Probability 12-17-2003, 06:23 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 88
Posted By ironman007
Re: Long Run Probability Question

No, it's only true if you bet your entire bankroll. If you bet a fixed amount and your bankroll is large enough to withstand the deviation of results you will not go broke especially if you are...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-17-2003, 02:13 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 42
Posted By ironman007
Re: Limit Tourney hand that haunts me....bump

I would base my decision on my observation of the 3 bettor. The opening raise probably doesn't mean much, he raises with a lot of hands, plus he's 1st in so he should raise if he's going to play. ...
Forum: Probability 12-17-2003, 01:49 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 133
Posted By ironman007
Re: Expected Value in Football

I admit I have not read this paper, I'll try to find it but I was commenting on the statement that is usually correct to go for it on 4th down vs punting and this to me is nonsense.
In college...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-16-2003, 05:08 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 50
Posted By ironman007
Re: Foxwoods Final Tourney Hand – Several issues to discuss

I would bet your beat here. If the small blind has only 30+K in chips, he had to have been all in or close to it with AJ and was either making a combination of a desperate call/read or experience...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-15-2003, 02:54 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 29
Posted By ironman007
Re: 7-3 all-in

I don't like your move here but his call is even worse. At the $5 level, that type of move has a high chance of being called. Since this player is willing to call with that garbage you read him...
Forum: Probability 12-12-2003, 07:03 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 133
Posted By ironman007
Re: Expected Value in Football

Punting vs going for in on 4th down comes down to a risk vs reward and usually the risk outweighs the reward which is why in most cases teams punt. Teams don't run bad when trying for 4th downs...
Forum: Probability 12-12-2003, 06:43 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 133
Posted By ironman007
Re: Expected Value in Football

Go Pats! However the Patriots also used the 4th down punt last week to pin the dolphins deep which caused them to score their only touchdown. Punting is correct in a game of field position.
While...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-12-2003, 02:59 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 28
Posted By ironman007
Re: Maniac on Party 5+1 Multi

I would be patient, your in good chip position, This type of player will get busted by someone very soon and I know you want it to be you but you don't want to risk all of your chips by focussing on...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-12-2003, 01:32 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 48
Posted By ironman007
Re: Bubble hand on the button

It's hard to answer this without knowing the buy-in and what 8th place gets paid as well as the other 7 spots. If the payoff is enough, I would probably wait and let the BB or the UTG+1 players get...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-12-2003, 12:48 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 133
Posted By ironman007
Re: Sklansky and the System

good point, but don't try to convince anyone that Phil folds K K here. /images/graemlins/cool.gif
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-11-2003, 05:35 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 128
Posted By ironman007
Re: I screwed this hand up, but can\'t figure out what I should have done.

This is a hand that you have to trust your instinct. When a tight player makes a mininum raise in that spot AA crosses my mind instantly. Kathy Liebert did this last night on TV, Jennifer Harmon...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-10-2003, 02:43 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 62
Posted By ironman007
Re: Party 30 SNG 4 player left situations

true, unless the X=J,10 then your in bad shape. I agree this is +EV play but in these SNG with many bad players I would wait for a much better EV play and going all in now might make you miss the...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-10-2003, 01:52 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 62
Posted By ironman007
Re: Party 30 SNG 4 player left situations

in hand #2, you have to estimate what's the chance of getting called is and because it's a Party $30 SNG the odds based on my experience are very high making this a fold. Most people online have no...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 12-10-2003, 12:37 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 62
Posted By ironman007
Re: Party 30 SNG 4 player left situations

1) call, the button probably has something since he's raising the big stack.

2) At party, I would Fold. J 10 is not a good hand to have if dealing the cards hot and cold and many times someone...
Forum: Other Poker Games 12-10-2003, 12:28 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 84
Posted By ironman007
Re: Today\'s O8 hand- How valuable are a number of iffy draws

This is a hard hand to play requiring good judgement but you can't limp in with that hand from early position you either fold or raise, you don't want many players in the hand and you want to get rid...
Forum: Other Poker Games 12-10-2003, 12:18 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 116
Posted By ironman007
Re: O/8 flop raise -- good play or not?

yes, you should raise the flop, make anybody chasing for low pay and make anyone drawing pay. Why did the player show his cards and then go rabbit hunting. I hope you didn't show anyone what you...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 30

 
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