Forum: Sports Betting
10-12-2005, 05:01 PM
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Replies: 124
Views: 618
My Picks
$400 Chargers -2
$300 Falcons -4.5
$200 Steelers -3
$100 Patriots +3
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-06-2005, 08:58 PM
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Replies: 131
Views: 535
My Picks
$400 Buccaneers -3.5
$300 Eagles -3
$200 Colts -14
$100 Seahwaks +3
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-28-2005, 04:56 PM
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Replies: 127
Views: 523
My Picks
$400 Colts at Titans UNDER 45
$300 Seahawks + 2
$200 Jets at Ravens UNDER 31.5
$100 Bengals -10
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-21-2005, 11:56 AM
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Replies: 167
Views: 699
My Picks
$400 Chiefs
$300 Eagles
$200 Buccaneers
$100 Giants
Chiefs have been one of the best teams so far, offense is good as expected, and defense better than expected. Denver is at home, but they...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-15-2005, 05:43 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 144
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-15-2005, 05:36 PM
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Replies: 25
Views: 195
Re: Help calculating expected earn
Actually, I think the math is fairly simple - it reminds me of a math problem I had back in college. Assuming that you always bet 5% of your total bankroll and that you are betting at the standard...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-14-2005, 11:00 AM
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Replies: 11
Views: 121
Re: eagles vs niners game
I expect McNabb to start, but if the Eagles are up 10 or more in the second half I wouldn't be surprised to see him standing on the sideline where he can't aggravate his injury.
Even though...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-13-2005, 01:23 PM
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Replies: 177
Views: 636
My picks
$400 Steelers
$300 Chiefs
$200 Chargers
$100 Lions
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-12-2005, 05:05 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 122
Re: Early Week 2 Picks
I don't like the Jets right now - the new offense hasn't been effective yet, and Miami has already shown that they don't suck this year.
I like Bills at Tampa and San Diego at Denver. They're...
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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
08-19-2005, 06:13 PM
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Replies: 55
Views: 195
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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
08-18-2005, 01:16 PM
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Replies: 44
Views: 177
Re: My Take On Absolute Morality.
On the one hand, I think I might agree that there is no absolute morality, but showing examples of people violating moral codes isn't close to a proof of it. I think any reasonable moral code...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
08-17-2005, 02:36 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 73
Re: Pot Committed is a highly overrated concept.
I would agree that Pot Committed is much more important concept in Limit games and Limit tournies than in NLHE. In Limit Hold'em it is common for pots to get big enough relative to the maximum bet...
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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
08-17-2005, 02:20 PM
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Replies: 128
Views: 447
Re: atheistic morality
Let's try to agree on a few definitions first, and then see if there is something meaningful to argue about. If you define good/evil, moral/immoral in terms of God, then by your definitions...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
08-12-2005, 05:44 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 82
Re: Even stacks on bubble
Absent any reads, I would push with those cards. I wouldn't expect to be called by A2; I would expect to be called only AJ+ and pocket 77+. However, table image and reads are important to consider....
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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
08-05-2005, 06:41 PM
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Replies: 84
Views: 380
Re: A problem I have with Christianity
10 people: (feel free to add details yourself, they are not added here because devising a judgement for humanity's actions is far beyond us and would likely be larger than all the Tax Legislations of...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
08-03-2005, 09:08 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 37
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Forum: Probability
08-03-2005, 02:14 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 94
Re: Correct to fold aces
1. It is +EV for you to bet.
2. For him, it is +EV to call your bet.
3. For you, having him call your bet is -EV (even with Aces you would prefer the certain money).
4. If you could bet enough...
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Forum: Poker Theory
07-29-2005, 07:50 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 94
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Forum: Poker Theory
07-29-2005, 07:43 PM
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Replies: 50
Views: 334
Re: What if you were dealt 88, every time
I would probably lose at no-limit most of the time (depends on how many big blinds in the stacks to start), but I think I'd win consistently in a limit game. I'd put in one raise preflop each time,...
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Forum: Poker Theory
07-29-2005, 07:34 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 126
Re: optimal bluffing frequency
If I have taken down a couple of pots without showing, I tend to tighten up a bit, expecting that someone will think I've been stealing and will be suspicious of my bets.
I'm most likely to bet on...
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Forum: Poker Theory
07-29-2005, 03:44 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 130
Re: The ultimate way to outplay your oponent
I think it is technically impossible to have folding, calling, and raising all EV neutral decisions. For example, suppose that there are no more cards to come, and I bet $20 into you, giving you pot...
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Forum: Poker Theory
07-28-2005, 05:54 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 90
Re: Is this winning pattern unusual
I disagree with your conclusions - it seems to me that since a loose player is in more pots, a loose player will tend to win more pots (but also lose more money chasing).
I think a loose player will...
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Forum: Poker Theory
07-27-2005, 12:13 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 90
Fundamental Theorem of Poker
I am trying to figure out whether this theorem would say I have gained in the following case:
I am the big blind in holdem (limit), and have Qx. There is one limper, and the small blind folds. ...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
06-28-2005, 08:52 PM
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Replies: 37
Views: 166
Re: hmm, bubble utg hand.. thoughts?
I'd fold.
1. I don't think you have much fold equity by pushing here, as BB gets good pot odds to call you down.
2. You don't have to put any money in the pot yet. You can play all in with a...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
06-24-2005, 04:08 PM
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Replies: 36
Views: 145
Re: AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this?
I've folded AA post flop quite recently - flop was 3 clubs, I bet and was called; turn was another club... Opponent goes all in, and I muck. Anytime there are 9 cards which would have me drawing...
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