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Search: Posts Made By: shday
Forum: Internet Gambling 11-06-2005, 01:13 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 19
Posted By shday
Re: Another Crappy Database Site

All that text makes for an easy Google search! I've tried looking for sites like this in the past but couldn't find anything. This site seems so crappy I can't see how they could make money, even if...
Forum: Internet Gambling 11-02-2005, 02:00 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 229
Posted By shday
Re: The REAL story on Pokershare/UB

When I first inquired by email as to what was going on with my money, they replied that a check was issued to me for $42.70. This was alarming because I had over $500.00 in my account!! I sent off...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-11-2005, 05:03 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 86
Posted By shday
Re: BB/100, what does it mean usually?

Thanks for the clear answers. Much appreciated.
Forum: Poker Theory 10-11-2005, 12:44 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 86
Posted By shday
BB/100, what does it mean usually?

Ok, I hope this question is not as stupid as it looks. I just started using Poker Tracker and found that BB/100 means "Big Bets" per 100 instead of Big Blinds per 100. I find this puzzling as I...
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 01:20 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 137
Posted By shday
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

ok, if you want to factor in the number of callers:

bet = chance*pot/(1 - chance(1 + callers))

obviously, if there are no callers this reduces to the previous equation.
Forum: Probability 08-02-2005, 12:09 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 137
Posted By shday
Re: I just got dealt pocket aces 4 times in a row.

[ QUOTE ]
221^4=10793861to 1 against

[/ QUOTE ]
This is the probability of getting AA in 4 consecutive hands given that only 4 hands are dealt. If 5 hands are dealt the odds almost double. The...
Forum: Probability 08-01-2005, 12:56 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 137
Posted By shday
Re: formula for calling bets based on outs

[ QUOTE ]
If you could also show my error here for calculating the max bet (X).....

X = 1 + (2*%chance of hitting out)*pot size*% chance of hitting outs

[/ QUOTE ]

...I couldn't figure out...
Forum: Probability 07-12-2005, 01:02 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 89
Posted By shday
Re: Craps

[ QUOTE ]
The pass line wins ~49.29% of the time and loses ~50.71% this gives the house a 1.41% edge
The don't pass line wins less... ~47.93% and loses ~49.29% because the don't pass line pushes on...
Forum: Probability 06-22-2005, 09:26 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 178
Posted By shday
Re: Got my calculator to lie

Same answer an my TI-80: 37000037

aside: the Python interpreter gives 37000018.952451177 (the same as Microsoft Excel)
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 06-22-2005, 09:10 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 51
Posted By shday
Re: Inexperienced MTT player looking for late-stage advice

[ QUOTE ]
The worst play you can make as a short/medium stack is to open the pot with a normal raise (3-4BB) and then fold to a reraise. So either open the pot with all-in, or only open the pot when...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 06-22-2005, 01:46 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 51
Posted By shday
Re: Inexperienced MTT player looking for late-stage advice

Cool, my first tournament after reading this thread and I place second out of 344. I never got in short stack trouble for the whole tournament. /images/graemlins/grin.gif
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 06-21-2005, 05:47 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 51
Posted By shday
Re: Inexperienced MTT player looking for late-stage advice

[ QUOTE ]
I play conservative and get fairly deep in the tournament (~75% of the field remaining)...

[/ QUOTE ]

err, I meant to say "~75% of the field eliminated"... duh

I don't like edit...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 06-21-2005, 01:18 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 51
Posted By shday
Re: Inexperienced MTT player looking for late-stage advice

Hey, this is my experience also. I play conservative and get fairly deep in the tournament (~75% of the field remaining) and my stack is around average (or less). Then, I find myself going directly...
Forum: Probability 06-20-2005, 07:59 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 87
Posted By shday
Re: Roulette Question

Thanks, I missed that...
Forum: Probability 06-20-2005, 07:28 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 87
Posted By shday
Re: Roulette Question

here's another answer (to the second part of your question).

37^x is the number of possible outcomes for x spins.

36^x is the number of possible outcomes for x spins discluding one number.
...
Forum: Probability 06-20-2005, 01:16 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 171
Posted By shday
Re: Odds of getting the same exact hand 5 times in a row.

[ QUOTE ]
I come here to ask a simple factual question and you all assume I'm lying. As if I have nothing better to do with my life than spread lies on an internet forum. You should have better...
Forum: Probability 06-17-2005, 04:44 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 171
Posted By shday
Re: Odds of getting the same exact hand 5 times in a row.

Given any hand, (1/1326)^4 would be the odds of getting the same hand 4 more times... another way to answer the original question.
Forum: Probability 06-15-2005, 10:58 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 123
Posted By shday
Re: How do you calculate this?

[ QUOTE ]
What are the odds that in a 6 handed game two players would be dealt KK and one player would have AA?

[/ QUOTE ]

This actually happened in a big tournament not long ago! (There was...
Forum: Probability 06-15-2005, 06:11 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 98
Posted By shday
Re: Identical Random Shuffles?

[ QUOTE ]
For heads-up the total number of effectively unique shuffles would be close to (in case I missed something):


P(52,4)/4*C(48,3)*47*46/4!

[/ QUOTE ]

oops, try this instead:
Forum: Probability 06-15-2005, 05:21 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 98
Posted By shday
Re: Identical Random Shuffles?

How about calculate the number of permutations based on the number of cards used. All the randomness left in the unused part of the deck wouldn’t matter.

The size would be further reduced because...
Forum: Probability 05-15-2005, 09:05 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 90
Posted By shday
Re: KK running into AA

4.39% for a 9 person table (it obviously depends on the number of players).
...
Forum: Probability 05-08-2005, 04:33 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 87
Posted By shday
Re: What are the chances of.....

(1 - 38/1326)^800, or one in 12.7 billion.

...you should play the lottery.
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