Forum: Probability
11-08-2005, 09:40 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 88
Re: Hold\'em Hand Analysis
Thanks, but didn't really answer my question...
I know the answer is 499/990 however, I think this is right...
a) Any heart will win (324/990)
b) Any 3 except with a 9 (66/990)
c) Any Q except...
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Forum: Probability
11-08-2005, 08:39 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 88
Hold\'em Hand Analysis
You are heads up at the end of a tournament. You look down at your pocket cards to see Qh-3h. The flop comes 3c-Kh-Th and your opponent moves all-in and you call. Your opponent flips over 9h-9s.
...
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Forum: Probability
09-14-2005, 05:38 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 87
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Forum: Probability
09-14-2005, 08:37 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 87
Pocket Pair preflop, P(x) flopping 3k, FH or 4k?
I want to determine the probability of flopping a set, full house or quads when holding a pocket pair? When holding a pocket pair obviously can't make a flush, straight or straight flush on the...
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Forum: Probability
08-15-2005, 09:07 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 98
Re: Pockets hitting set or quads?
If I said "what is the chance of flopping a set or better when holding two pair"?
=(2/50 x 48/49 x 48/48 x 3C2)
=11.755% or 1 in 8.51 times
Since you can't flop a type of straight or flush...
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Forum: Probability
08-15-2005, 07:35 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 98
Re: Pockets hitting set or quads?
Well I think I worked it out...
The answer is:
=(2/50 x 48/49 x 47/48 x 3C1) + (2/50 x 1/49 x 48/48 x 3C2)
=(2/50 x 48/49 x 48/48 x 3C1)
=11.755%
Can someone please confirm?
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Forum: Probability
08-15-2005, 07:22 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 98
Pockets hitting set or quads?
Hi All
I want to work out the probability of hitting a set (3) or quads (4) on the flop when you hold a pocket pair in texas hold'em?
I thought it might be:
=(2/50 x 48/49 x 48/48 x 3C1) +...
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Forum: Probability
07-26-2005, 11:26 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 85
Re: quads 7/300
I calculate the chance of hitting quads to be approximately 1 in 1041 hands. Therefore to get 7 or more from 300 hands is very remote!
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Forum: Probability
07-26-2005, 11:18 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 91
Re: How important is Probabillity? (In Poker)
Pre-Flop
Hand Prob. making hand Pot odds
Pair (flopping a set or quads) 12.12% 1 in 7.25
Suited Connector (flopping a straight, flush or straight flush) 1.83% 1 in 53.6
A-x suited (flopping the...
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Forum: Probability
07-26-2005, 10:25 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 93
Re: Pot odds v Implied odds
This is a $10+$1 single table tournament and not a cash game!
Mathematically what is the optimal solution assuming your opponent has the nuts (i.e. Kd-Kh) after the flop?
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Forum: Probability
07-26-2005, 10:09 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 93
Re: Pot odds v Implied odds
Assuming that my analysis above it correct, I see it is directly relevant what the level of blinds are for whether you call or not. If the blinds are $300-$600 (as per the above example) then a call...
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Forum: Probability
07-26-2005, 10:00 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 93
Re: Pot odds v Implied odds
I originally wrote "your opponent on top pair but given previous play he's probably got a pocket pair and hit a set on the flop", lets assume he has hit a set. For probability purposes it does not...
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Forum: Probability
07-25-2005, 10:14 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 93
Pot odds v Implied odds
You are heads up at the end of a $10+$1 single table tourney. You have $7,000 in chips and your opponent has $8,000. The blinds are $300-$600 and you are the big blind with your opponent on the...
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Forum: Probability
06-19-2005, 02:31 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 78
Re: Suited Connector Odds
Aaron, thanks for your help however, I am short a couple of scenarios.
19,600 possible flops with any suited connector.
For 4-5 suited through J-10 suited:
252 combinations give you a straight...
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Forum: Probability
06-18-2005, 11:06 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 78
Suited Connector Odds
I want to determine how to calculate the following:
- You hold a suited connector (eg. 8h-9h)
What is the probability of flopping a straight, a flush, a straight flush, a draw with 4-to-a-flush,...
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Forum: Probability
06-08-2005, 03:35 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 90
Re: POCKET ACES PROBABLITIES
The odds of both players get A-A when heads up is 4P4/52P4 = 1 in 270,725
Out of 1,712,304 hands (48C5) each hand has 37,210 ways to win or 1,637,884 ways to split, so the chance of one of you...
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Forum: Probability
06-07-2005, 09:55 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 85
Re: Suited Connectors...
thanks for the post...
I would agree with the basic methodology however, I would disagree with the odds for "2-3 suited and Q-K suited". Here I would propose the following:
For 2-3 suited and...
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Forum: Probability
06-07-2005, 01:23 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 85
Suited Connectors...
Hello All
A question related to texas hold'em... If you hold any suited connector (eg. Ac-2c or 9h-Th) what is the probability of flopping a straight, flush or straight flush. Please express the...
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Forum: Probability
04-06-2005, 04:43 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 141
Re: Texas Holdem Hands Probability
ANSWER:
P(Pair) = 13 different cards with 4 suits to choose from, with only 2 cards available = 13 x 4C2 = 13 x 6 = 78 hands;
P(Suited Connector) = 13 combinations within one suit by 4 suits = 13 x...
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Forum: Probability
04-06-2005, 01:27 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 141
Re: Texas Holdem Hands Probability
Another way to look at it
Probability working is as follows:
P(pair) = 1 x 3/51
P(suited connector) = 1 x 2/51
P(A-x suited) = 1/13 x 12/51 x 2 but we remove A-2 and A-K which was covered by...
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Forum: Probability
04-06-2005, 01:08 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 141
Re: Texas Holdem Hands Probability
Does everyone agree?
ANSWER:
P(any pair) = 13 different cards with 4 suits to choose from, with only 2 cards available = 13 x 4C2 = 13 x 6 = 78 hands;
P(suited connector) = 13 combinations...
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Forum: Probability
04-05-2005, 11:29 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 141
Re: Texas Holdem Hands Probability
OK here are my workings...
a) Suits = 13 different cards with 4 choose 2 suits = 13 x 4c2 = 78 hands
b) Suited connector = 13 combinations with 4 suits = 13 x 4 = 52 hands
c) All paint = 16 paint...
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Forum: Probability
04-05-2005, 09:40 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 141
Re: Texas Holdem Hands Probability
Gaming Mouse
I have set up a spreadsheet for this so potentially it's easier for me to email it to you?
However, in the attempt of getting this resolved here are my calculations...
a) Pairs =...
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Forum: Probability
04-05-2005, 05:00 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 141
Re: Texas Holdem Hands Probability
I count at least 20 double ups, however some might be triple ups?
For example, Ah Kh is a suited connector, all paint AND A-x suited.
I still get 210
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Forum: Probability
04-05-2005, 04:35 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 141
Re: Texas Holdem Hands Probability
Sorry to ask such a pointless question but can you please confirm there are 210 mutually exclusive combinations. I think I have removed them all however, I am not 100%. No rush ~ your assistance is...
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