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Search: Posts Made By: shagjohn
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-27-2005, 12:12 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 318
Posted By shagjohn
Re: 10 High Flush On The River Facing A Bet

[ QUOTE ]
since you are new we can allow one more chance /images/graemlins/cool.gif- you do need to worry about the flush - however hero is 10 high so his primary concern is a higher flush (not any...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-27-2005, 10:45 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 318
Posted By shagjohn
Re: 10 High Flush On The River Facing A Bet

[ QUOTE ]

and this guy fears "any two clubs" ??

am i missing something here? - bet the flop call the river

[/ QUOTE ]

Doh... Somehow I got into the short-handed forum by accident (I'm...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-27-2005, 10:14 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 318
Posted By shagjohn
Re: 10 High Flush On The River Facing A Bet

I think betting the flop makes sense to get more info? (granted, I've seen plenty of LAGs that would raise this flop w/ 64o to try to steal)

cdxx said there are only 2 cards that beat you, but...
Forum: News, Views, and Gossip 12-25-2005, 06:05 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 344
Posted By shagjohn
Re: card predictor system - scam or something to be worried about?

Nut4Dogs may have it right, but they are charging $100 to get the software. I guess maybe they're safe from getting busted b/c they say they use "statistical methods" to figure out how the internals...
Forum: News, Views, and Gossip 12-25-2005, 05:55 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 344
Posted By shagjohn
Re: card predictor system - scam or something to be worried about?

[ QUOTE ]
it was keeno, not bingo, no?
and the guy only got caught becaiuse his partner gave them two different names or something

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I guess keeno, some kind of picking numbers...
Forum: News, Views, and Gossip 12-21-2005, 05:09 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 732
Posted By shagjohn
Re: Poker on Resume....the real reason for asking

[ QUOTE ]
If you are applying to Susquehanna trading near the burbs of Philly it is +EV, otherwise forget it.

[/ QUOTE ]

cwsiggy makes a good point.
I hear many firms looking to hire trader...
Forum: News, Views, and Gossip 12-21-2005, 04:53 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 344
Posted By shagjohn
card predictor system - scam or something to be worried about?

A piece of spam I received today:
[ QUOTE ]
The PPS Tracker is used specifically to view upcoming cards at online poker tables. The software works by statistically cracking the random seed from the...
Forum: The Stock Market 12-21-2005, 02:25 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 143
Posted By shagjohn
Re: Degen\'s 12/14 Blog

[ QUOTE ]

Reccomended reading:

Rich Dad Poor Dad: Kiyosaki
Teaches how the super rich view money and investments, and the
mistakes the poor and middle class make. Excellent, excellent book....
Forum: The Stock Market 12-21-2005, 01:17 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 84
Posted By shagjohn
To stop, or to trailing stop?

I'm guessing the answer is 'it depends', but just wanted to get some insight from the folks here. I'm attempting to do swing trading, and one news service I subscribe to recommends a fixed stop at...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-05-2005, 06:14 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 80
Posted By shagjohn
Re: Biorhythms

[ QUOTE ]

Also this has nothing to do with card distribution. It has to do with monthly cycles that effect different abilities.

I don't find this far fetched. As lunar cycles have been used...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-05-2005, 12:12 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 80
Posted By shagjohn
Re: Biorhythms

Not to burst anyone's bubble, but I just googled biorhythms and I gotta say, if it looks like astrology, walks like astrology, and quacks like astrology...
So far it appears to be the usual human...
Forum: The Stock Market 08-11-2005, 12:49 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 103
Posted By shagjohn
Re: Bought 250,000 shares did I screw myself?

[ QUOTE ]
So when someone asks for advice I tell them, avoid penny stocks, stick with index funds.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've been investing in listed stocks, but I'm curious about pennystocks. There...
Forum: The Stock Market 06-22-2005, 02:24 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 71
Posted By shagjohn
Re: YABI (Yet Another Beginning Investor)

Excellent post GeorgeF.

Taken more broadly, I think you should put your time into your most positive EV efforts. If you enjoy the field you're working in, focus on that. Until you've gotten to...
Forum: Probability 01-29-2005, 01:04 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 82
Posted By shagjohn
Sklanky\'s Holdem Odds Calcs

Hope this isn't a newb q, but I looked through the other pages of posts and didn't find anything.

In the hopes of understanding the odds better, just wanted to verify I'm doing this right...
On...
Forum: Probability 01-25-2005, 06:18 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 81
Posted By shagjohn
Re: Set vs. 4-flush board odds question

Wow... To think I've been playing poker for this long and didn't know how many cards are in the deck...

Once I can count right, I get the same number.

Thanks so much for your help Cobra!
...
Forum: Probability 01-24-2005, 10:31 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 81
Posted By shagjohn
Set vs. 4-flush board odds question

Was wondering if I'm calculating the odds right, or I'm completely missing something.

Hero has a middle set vs a four-flush board after the turn.

Are these odds calculations right?

Hero has...
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