Forum: Sports Betting
12-02-2005, 06:35 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-02-2005, 06:31 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 208
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-02-2005, 04:17 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Nice bet. A lot of books will cancel the wager, citing obviously incorrect lines. Hope it cashes for you (and covers the -4 as well)!
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-02-2005, 04:14 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Last night: 0-1 -2u
YTD: 73-67 -4.6u
Huge card tonight, already taken last night. One more play mentioned earlier, will now take:
Det 1H -6
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-02-2005, 11:39 AM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
[ QUOTE ]
hey llabb i like how u pick can u give me a nice 6team parlay to bet on? dont worry if it loses
[/ QUOTE ]
Lol, I've been horrible lately. If you're serious, thanks. If you're...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2005, 10:41 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
I lean Dallas +1 and U 94.5 in the 2nd half, but am not counting it, since I should stay away from 2nd halves.
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2005, 08:12 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Fri totals:
Tor/Atl U 193 +100
Orl/Mem U 172 +104
Cle/Sea O 203.5 +103
Also like Det to blow out NY, but at -12, do not want the back door cover risk. Game could easily be a Det win in the...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2005, 07:39 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Early Fri plays. Have a number of them, but my own lines are several points off from these. These are all my intitial impressions, so these should be solid, as I'm not talking myself into games...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2005, 07:34 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 88
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2005, 07:25 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Last night: 2-5 -2.8u
YTD: 73-66 -2.6u
Bad picks and regression to the mean both hurting me, coming back down towards 50% and horrible recently. The last couple days, my intital impressions with...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2005, 07:11 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 88
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2005, 06:34 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 167
Re: My 2 team parlay of the night
For individual plays, it's usually just someone saying "+EV" based on their own estimations and feel for the game. For parlays, middles, scalps, etc., it's a math thing.
For you, the answer is...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2005, 06:15 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 167
Re: My 2 team parlay of the night
I agree that LAC are getting too many points, but it's still a tough one to play. I'd probably lay off that side.
Cle is very good at home, while LAC have only been okday. And it seems to me...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2005, 05:25 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Not much action tomorrow. I gave SA -3 and Uta -3, and they both opened at -2.5. If Uta was giving any more points, LAL would be a possibility, but both teams are awful. Only Thurs play for now:
...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2005, 05:10 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 147
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2005, 04:10 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Last night: 4-4, +0.1u
YTD: 71-61, +0.2u
Was 1H -6 +102
Ind +2 +113
Sac +5 +105
Cha +6 +107
Chi +1 +102
In most cases, taking the better team while on the road but getting points.
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2005, 09:18 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Not playing this for record, just small plays for myself. Phi/Por is a track meet, only had low 1Q b/c Phi couldn't buy a bucket shooting under 35%. Pace should continue.
Phi/Por 2H O 94
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2005, 08:52 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Early Wed:
Det -5 +119
NOK +8 +101
Think Det matches up well here, able to contain NJ's Big 3, while dominating them down low. -4 is too little IMO, even on NJ's home court. Continuing my...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2005, 08:46 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 205
Re: NCAAF: UCLA +21.5
What do you all think about the over at 74? With this game, we have two top offenses, one okay defense, and one crap defense. Sounds like a recipe for scoring.
I can easily see USC in the 50's...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2005, 07:44 PM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Like a couple more games tonight.
Atl +8 +107
Cha +7 +105
Phi/Por AH O 97.5 -110
Atl/Hou U 176 +100
Getting too many points on these live dogs. Cha pretty good since Gerald Wallace...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2005, 04:14 AM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Last night: 1-1, +0.2u
YTD: 67-57, +0.2u
Nice to be up a tiny amount instead of down a tiny amount even when you go 1-1. I'm liking this approach, and will take the + odds when a half point is...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2005, 04:05 AM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Sorry, didn't check back here in time to see this. Hope you enjoyed the winners on both games you were looking at anyway! I probably would have said that I like the Toronto game, but not the NJ...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2005, 10:04 AM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
YTD 66-56, but flat on units due to juice and bad 2u plays.
Monday night games, will try the +odds strategy, see how it goes.
Mia -9 +118
NO +8 +106
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2005, 10:02 AM
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Replies: 102
Views: 425
Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)
Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving and break! Feeling refreshed after a nice vacation, and ready to get back to capping. Have cleared my head after some bad losses, and am ready to buckle down...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-26-2005, 07:13 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 80
Re: NBA nov 26th Philly (-1) vs New York
Home court factor. HC is usually worth about 3 points. So when NY was on the road at Charlotte, the line was saying that NY is better by a point, but with Charlotte having home court advantage,...
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