Forum: Multi-table Tournaments
12-08-2005, 04:58 AM
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Replies: 8
Views: 51
Re: Bellagio 3k
I don't know what other people in this thread are thinking, but a good tournament player isn't flat calling an UTG+1 raise, with like the whole table to act after them, with much besides a PP. I...
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Forum: Brick and Mortar
12-07-2005, 10:52 PM
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Replies: 59
Views: 348
Re: Rate the weakest game you know!
[ QUOTE ]
My home casino, Turning stone, in NY has fairly tight play on the lower limit games, so profitability is low. The 1-2 $100 max no limit hold'em game is pretty weak b/c there are a lot of...
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Forum: Brick and Mortar
12-07-2005, 10:41 PM
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Replies: 59
Views: 348
Re: Rate the weakest game you know!
In California, try a Friday night at any of the major LA casinos. Aim for a 4/8 game. If you walk around a little between 7 PM and the wee hours of the morning, you will eventually find the Cap Every...
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
11-22-2005, 09:42 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 74
Re: Sketchy
Folding to a river 3-bet seems logical to me.
Here's my thought though. I've seen you post a few hands recently involving a big laydown. And if I was sitting at your table, and saw you raise the...
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
11-19-2005, 10:56 AM
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Replies: 26
Views: 270
Re: I fold TPTK
I think if I could not justify showing down AQ, vs a re-raiser, on a board of Q747, it would be better to fold to the three-bet preflop.
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
11-19-2005, 09:49 AM
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Replies: 26
Views: 270
Re: I fold TPTK
You will often be betting a better hand too. These would be value bets if you are ahead > 50% of the time.
Let me try to quantify the value of your read for this hand, with Bayes theorem.
Your...
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
11-19-2005, 07:06 AM
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Replies: 26
Views: 270
Re: I fold TPTK
My play for the hand, FWIW.
Three bet flop.
If villain four bets, C/C to SD.
If villain calls, bet the whole way...
Three betting this flop will probably shut down even KK, and I feel you...
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
11-19-2005, 06:53 AM
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Replies: 26
Views: 270
Re: I fold TPTK
My gut feeling is that folding here is wrong. Math follows, via pokerstove.
Villain's Hand:
AA 3 ways,
KK 6 ways,
QQ 1 way
JJ 6 ways
AK 12 ways
AQ 6 ways
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
11-19-2005, 06:35 AM
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Replies: 10
Views: 63
Re: Bet or check?
Against an unknown player, absolutely bet. Against a player with 'typical' blind looseness there are a million CCing hands you are ahead of here. Many players would peel a card with just a good...
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-19-2005, 06:07 AM
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Replies: 17
Views: 153
Re: Quantifying the value of position in limit HE
This is a great empirical way to determine the answer.
Note that better players probably gain a little more value in later position than weak ones. You could try a table of all weakies, and one of...
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-19-2005, 06:01 AM
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Replies: 40
Views: 291
Re: Its not about odds.
Odds are indeed pretty stupid. In fact, I recommend avoiding math and game theory considerations altogether.
It's best to play by first seeing into your opponents soul. Then go from there.
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Forum: Politics
11-19-2005, 04:46 AM
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Replies: 50
Views: 373
Re: The heat is on. Fox News special review
It's late at night and I'm snarky.
[ QUOTE ]
Externalities are bogus concepts that are (mis)used to justify government intervention. The emotion they play on (that others' actions can have...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-15-2005, 12:59 PM
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Replies: 26
Views: 108
Re: river
I think you're usually losing here. But a player like you're describing is not above bluff-raising your 'obvious' big ace hand.
There's enough in the pot to look him up, and remember what he...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-15-2005, 12:56 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 86
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-15-2005, 06:43 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 86
Re: I broke my 20/40 cherry
I feel like missed AK is the hand I least know what to do with.
I always bet against 2 opponents. I nearly always check against 4 unless I have backdoor outs. 3 is the number that perplexes me.
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-14-2005, 09:34 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 86
I broke my 20/40 cherry
I know this is small stakes to a lot of you, but how about giving a brother a break?
Commerce live 20/40.
UTG limps, I raise UTG+1 with A /images/graemlins/spade.gif K ...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-12-2005, 12:40 AM
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Replies: 45
Views: 356
Re: The new trend at my casino
David's assertion in HEFAP is that in a game with a lot of extra blinds, you could easily make a sufficient profit with the extra action generated by your premium hands. This is no longer true if you...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-12-2005, 12:15 AM
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Replies: 45
Views: 356
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-11-2005, 11:43 PM
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Replies: 45
Views: 356
Re: The new trend at my casino
Eric, thanks for your post.
I used a rather poor choice of words in my strategy post. 'Tighter' is not really what I meant. I agree that your hand selection should be skewed differently as...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-11-2005, 11:15 PM
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Replies: 45
Views: 356
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-11-2005, 07:56 AM
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Replies: 45
Views: 356
Re: The new trend at my casino
Here's my ideas on it. I'd also search the archives about the straddle for more delightful discussion.
A mandatory straddle is obviously 0 EV in itself, since everyone bears the same disadvantage...
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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em
10-28-2005, 04:28 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 63
Re: When 100BB downswings occur
[ QUOTE ]
After you've won back exactly 134.768 bets.
[/ QUOTE ]
The correct number is actually 139.450. I'll let others elaborate.
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Forum: Politics
09-27-2005, 06:36 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 81
Re: There is no War to be protested
[ QUOTE ]
So, what did you think of the anti-nation helping protesters who were protesting this weekend? /images/graemlins/wink.gif
[/ QUOTE ]
Let's not use misleading labels. Those were...
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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
08-30-2005, 07:50 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 72
Re: Hypothetical Time Travel Question
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Hawking will not take a bet on whether or not time travel is possible (Hawking and Thorne have engaged in a well known series of bets on questions in physics).
[/ QUOTE ]
This is, of...
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Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
08-30-2005, 07:47 PM
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Replies: 12
Views: 72
Re: Hypothetical Time Travel Question
Well,
Scientists who have 'constructed' relativistic time machines (in a thought experiment sort of way) have indicated that they cannot be used to travel before the construction of the machine....
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