Forum: Books and Publications
12-18-2005, 11:22 AM
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Replies: 8
Views: 97
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-17-2005, 10:18 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 100
Re: Super Bowl Odds Question
In Las Vegas (and offshore too), lines are quoted like this:
-XXX means you have to risk XXX to win 100.
+YYY means you have to risk 100 to win YYY.
You can wager any ratio of 100, assuming...
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Forum: Books and Publications
12-17-2005, 10:08 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 97
Re: Real Poker II: The Play of Hands
I always enjoy Roy Cooke's articles in Card Player. He writes a ton of good stuff that all players should be interested in. I'm sure he has enough quality articles by now to publish Real Poker III. ...
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Forum: Books and Publications
12-12-2005, 02:10 AM
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Replies: 10
Views: 701
Re: Tommy Angelo
I used to play in the same games as Tommy a few years back. He played in a very different way than I did. He seemed to focus much more on his opponent than anyone I had ever met, to the point where...
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Forum: Books and Publications
11-01-2005, 10:57 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 98
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-29-2005, 06:15 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 86
Re: Most Points by a NFL team this week?
There are individual betting markets for over/under X points for specific NFL teams this weekend. The team that has the highest expectation, the highest over/under line is San Diego.
...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-27-2005, 05:21 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 87
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-27-2005, 02:21 PM
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Replies: 27
Views: 188
Re: Hedging
I focus mainly on football. In the other sports, I focus mainly on futures.
Why?
Because my strength is in analyzing the market and figuring out how to beat "derivative" markets by looking...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-27-2005, 01:25 PM
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Replies: 27
Views: 188
Re: Hedging
as you stated, you bet more than your bankroll before the season started. there are two reasons to do that:
1. A screw-up. Everyone makes mistakes, and often people overbet their bankroll. The...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 10:27 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 127
Re: Sports betting = free money?
making money betting sports is tough work. not only do you need to know intricate details of the sport you are betting, but you also need to know the betting details. there is no free lunch.
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 10:26 PM
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Replies: 27
Views: 188
Re: Hedging
[ QUOTE ]
4. Your estimation of the odds have changed, in the time elapsed between the original wager and the hedging opportunity; or your assessment of which side of the bookmakers' odds you prefer...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 10:20 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 128
Re: Pinacle Pulse - Week 8
yes, this is the one game I agree with you when it comes to the pointspread...however, notice the money line is reflective of a 9.2 point favorite, so anyone who wants to hedge their teaser bets (at...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 10:17 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 128
Re: Pinacle Pulse - Week 8
There are other books that abuse the teaser lines to a great degree....5dimes is one. Now that's an annoying book!
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Forum: Books and Publications
10-26-2005, 10:15 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 132
Re: Weighing the Odds - Finish it?
Sorry, no. I don't have the experience in those games, and don't have the interest right now to spend the time to gain the experience. Even if I wanted to, I estimate it would take at least a year...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 05:30 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 128
Re: Pinacle Pulse - Week 8
as I understand it, their limits on teasers is $1000. Whereas it is much greater than that for individual games. I don't see this as a line move based on teasers. If they had ran a line of +9.5...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 03:59 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 81
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 03:56 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 224
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 03:52 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 88
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 03:36 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 88
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-26-2005, 03:32 PM
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Replies: 27
Views: 188
Hedging
There are three reasons to make a bet that hedges a previous bet:
1. The second bet - the hedge - has positive expectancy itself.
2. Your risk is so large, that you'd get sick to your stomache...
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Forum: Books and Publications
10-26-2005, 03:18 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 132
Re: Weighing the Odds - Finish it?
Vincent,
I hope you do finish it, and I hope the rest of the book is more enjoyable and useful to you.
Everyone else,
Thanks for the constructive criticism. I've already made some changes...
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Forum: Books and Publications
10-21-2005, 11:02 AM
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Replies: 39
Views: 227
Re: Top 10 Favorite Poker Books
These three books stand out to me now because they impacted me tremendously when I first read them.
Big Deal by Anthony Holden
I read this before I had any experience playing poker in a...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
10-08-2005, 01:46 AM
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Replies: 27
Views: 111
Re: i hate this spot
as for three-betting the Turn:
I wouldn't do it often, but I would consider doing it in the right spot against the right opponent.
Right Opponent: someone that I want to stop from bullying...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
10-08-2005, 01:24 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 38
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
10-08-2005, 01:15 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 75
Re: Questionable river value bet
[ QUOTE ]
My feeling was that bet/fold has a higher ev than check/call here.
[/ QUOTE ]
I like your idea. Given the play of the hand, he may have a lower pocket pair which he is less...
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