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Search: Posts Made By: winker
Forum: Internet Gambling 09-27-2005, 09:38 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 30
Posted By winker
Re: Bodog Payouts - Scammin?

That must have been my problem... I deposited through my bank card not NT. This really pisses me off... I'm sure that Bodog has good employees... but all it takes is one bad apple to completely f***...
Forum: Internet Gambling 09-27-2005, 09:29 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 30
Posted By winker
Bodog Payouts - Scammin?

Okay so I signed up with Bodog for their 20% bonus deal. Good deal, but oh wait! Now they want me to send the following in order to cash out to my Neteller account. Have you guys been asked to do...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 07-26-2005, 11:18 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 22
Posted By winker
Help needed with this hand - JJ vs 85s

I really need you to know... did I play this right. Would you have folded? Things like this keep happening lately. I've never run this bad. I usually play lower limits 1/2 and I've blown over $500 in...
Forum: Internet Gambling 07-26-2005, 10:46 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 16
Posted By winker
Serious Help Needed w/ this hand

I really need you to know... did I play this right. Would you have folded? Things like this keep happening lately. I've never run this bad. I usually play lower limits 1/2 and I've blown over...
Forum: Internet Gambling 07-22-2005, 10:03 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 74
Posted By winker
Re: playing on bodog

Re: rakeback...

Okay... thanks for the info.
Forum: Sports Betting 07-22-2005, 10:00 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

Dear Greek,

Do you know much about sabermetrics? I don't say that to be rude, but you'll have to figure in some things... the park, the defense of each team, and the bullpen/late inning effect...
Forum: Internet Gambling 07-22-2005, 09:55 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 74
Posted By winker
Re: playing on bodog

Does BoDog have rakeback???
Forum: Software 07-22-2005, 12:46 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 88
Posted By winker
Re: newbie to poker tracker

Thanks a ton RMc. I really appreciate your advise. Next time I promise to search before I post. It helps with server space and prevents the spread of HIV. Well, one of those anyway.

Cheers
Forum: Sports Betting 07-22-2005, 12:39 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

Well... I won the bet. Santana was good enough and Johnson was very hittable. The Twins got lots of help from the Tigers defense... but SABR types know they are a weak team defensively (outside of...
Forum: Sports Betting 07-21-2005, 08:23 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

I shouldn't have stated it this way... basically I believe if you held this game today 150 times that the Twins would win 100 of those games... and that they would do that because in 70-80% of those...
Forum: Sports Betting 07-21-2005, 07:11 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

To sum up my thoughts on Sabermetrics... I think it is much more useful to predict the next few months, or how a team will do over a season... much less effective for a single game.
Forum: Sports Betting 07-21-2005, 07:08 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

To Mr Baseball,

It's about variance. I don't think Johnson is that good. He's bound to regress to his mean, which is much worse than 1.93 and much worse than Santana's 3.82. That's why my bet...
Forum: Sports Betting 07-21-2005, 06:55 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

I am almost sure that at some point this year the odds will be better than 25-1, and I'm pretty sure at some point in the beginning of the season, the odds were around 50-1. Next year I'm going to...
Forum: Sports Betting 07-21-2005, 06:32 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

Maybe you're right about the sucker bet regarding Santana. But I don't think so. A certain portion of ERA, and a larger portion of Wins, is about variance and luck. Look at WHIP, career numbers,...
Forum: Sports Betting 07-21-2005, 06:24 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

The A's are a young team and I don't think that translates particularily well to the post season. Harden, Haren and Zito can be great, but you still gotta push 2-4 runs across against the other...
Forum: The Stock Market 07-21-2005, 05:50 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 46
Posted By winker
Re: Job post for analytic types

Boiler Room? Or Boiler Room trading?
Forum: Sports Betting 07-21-2005, 05:38 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 276
Posted By winker
Re: sabermetrics

Well after the A's dealt Hudson and Mulder they were going off at like 12-1 odds. If I had any money, I would have laid some on them.

I know sabermetrics nearly inside and out. It can be of...
Forum: Internet Gambling 07-21-2005, 05:23 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 74
Posted By winker
Re: playing on bodog

I'm at Paradise right now and want to move somewhere else to play .5/1 and 1/2 limit ring. What do you think of BoDog? Is it better than Party? What is the bonus?

Is the NL softer than the...
Forum: Software 07-21-2005, 04:58 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 88
Posted By winker
Re: newbie to poker tracker

Is there any way to see the 'score' of how many times guys are drawing one or 2 outers on me. My last session, it felt like it was happening all the time. I'd like to know if I draw better on my...
Forum: Internet Gambling 07-19-2005, 07:01 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 113
Posted By winker
Re: taxes

Can't you just have Neteller send you several checks and cash it at a check clearing place instead. They don't report to the IRS do they?
Forum: Beginners Questions 07-19-2005, 01:50 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 113
Posted By winker
Re: Knowing you have the game beat at a certain limit

Thanks for the responses everyone. I know that I am just running good now, but hopefully I can keep my BB/100 up over 10 since I am playing at low limit, short handed tables.

My thinking was...
Forum: Beginners Questions 07-16-2005, 06:17 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 113
Posted By winker
Re: Knowing you have the game beat at a certain limit

It's funny, I was going to start a thread and ask this same question. Although, I'm a little more conservative than the thread starter here.

I've been playing at the $1/2 level (low, I know). ...
Forum: Computer Technical Help 07-15-2005, 06:53 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 80
Posted By winker
A Poker Laptop - Config?

Okay, this is going to sound dumb ... but bear with me.

I have a wife and she enjoys it when we watch TV together. The thing is, I'd much rather be playing poker than watching 'Sex in the City'...
Forum: One-table Tournaments 07-01-2005, 07:31 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 32
Posted By winker
Paradise v Party

WW2+2D... what would a 2+2'er do?

I think I know the consensus, but I'd like to hear your opinions. Right now I'm playing at Paradise to clear a bonus. I'm almost done clearing it and am...
Forum: Internet Gambling 07-01-2005, 06:32 PM
Replies: 106
Views: 320
Posted By winker
Re: Hit my personal best today! 316.6!

320.5

I think my Yeti is tired, he hasn't come close in the last 20 swings.
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