Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy
12-15-2005, 12:50 PM
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Replies: 0
Views: 90
Correlation
Is correlation and the correlation coefficient the same thing?
data i = 7,8,10,9,5,4
data j = 8,7,13,7,5,7
I have a modern portfolio theory book which states that the correlation coefficient =...
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Forum: Probability
11-12-2005, 03:32 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 89
Re: New game on British Telly - Deal or No Deal
uh oh... this looks like a monty hall problem. I dont watch the show, and I'm not 100% clear how the game works from reading the website, but if the game show 'forces' boxes, i'd take EV of whatever...
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Forum: The Stock Market
11-03-2005, 08:56 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 75
Re: Commodities (Gasoline)
Unleaded gasoline closed today at $1.6268 per gallon, december 2005 delivery. 1 contract is 42,000 gallons, or $68,325.60. The difference you pay from the pump is delivery, additives, markup, and...
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Forum: Probability
10-29-2005, 11:58 PM
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Replies: 77
Views: 349
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Forum: Probability
10-27-2005, 06:13 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 85
Minimum variance portfolio...
I can't figure out the minimum variance of situations like this:
Security A Standard Deviation 14%/year.
Security B Standard Deviation 8%/year.
Security C Standard Deviation 10%/year.
...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
09-26-2005, 05:30 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 137
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Forum: Internet Gambling
09-14-2005, 11:16 AM
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Replies: 32
Views: 124
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Forum: Probability
09-10-2005, 11:10 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 86
Football pool probabilites...
Maybe i'm missing something.
I am in a football pool that you pick with lines.
Assume there are 4 players, and 4 games, and the probability of winning each individual game is 50%.
...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-07-2005, 10:22 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 79
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-07-2005, 09:26 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 79
Best book for parlays
I'm in a "parlay pool" with some friends of mine.
I thought that parlays would use 10 cent lines that pinnacle used for parlays (-104, -107, etc.) However, when i click on "parlays", everything...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
09-06-2005, 05:03 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 46
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Forum: Probability
09-05-2005, 01:23 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 93
Re: Anyone ever play the game 31?
Here is the "random thoughts" you were asking for...
I played a game called schwimmen (sp). Very similar
http://www.pagat.com/commerce/schwim.html
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Forum: Internet Gambling
08-30-2005, 05:41 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 51
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
08-30-2005, 05:17 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 36
PokerRoom SnG challenge.
Just heard about the PokerRoom SnG challenge via e-mail. (Top 10 players who play 9/3-9/5 get to play in a $20,000 SnG on 9/10, everyone gets at least $1000). Top 100 get a PokerRoom beanie.
I...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
08-27-2005, 12:11 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 83
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
08-27-2005, 11:43 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 83
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Forum: Probability
08-24-2005, 12:47 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 93
Re: odds terminology, does a bet pay 1:1 or 2:1
Odds are expressed win to lose, or win : lose
If you go play horses, a horse might be 3 to 1. You could win $3 or lose $1. You get back $4 when you bet $1, but that is only because the track...
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Forum: Probability
08-21-2005, 07:20 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 122
Re: Game theory football
In the few times i have actually played this, i have done well because of what you said. People are pretty predictable.
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Forum: Probability
08-21-2005, 07:16 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 122
Re: Game theory football
This is a copy and paste from my excel spreadsheet. I hope it's legible.
Here is what i have for each down. You would want to be defense, only by .0029
Down / yards / O_Run / O_Pass / D_Run /...
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Forum: Probability
08-21-2005, 04:59 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 122
Re: Game theory football
Yeah, your numbers match up with mine if the offense were to win with a 12 yd pass on 4th and 2. I found the game to be better with a loss for the offense. (actually, i got +.00003 EV for the...
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Forum: Probability
08-20-2005, 05:25 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 122
Re: Game theory football
I was reading the David Romer paper about going for it on 4th down, and how NFL teams are too conservative when I thought back to my football game. There was an article written in the 2+2 magazine...
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Forum: Probability
08-20-2005, 10:22 AM
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Replies: 11
Views: 122
Game theory football
Here is a stupid game i invented when i began reading about game theory a couple years ago. I believe i have found optimal ev for this game, and would like to see if anyone else has the same...
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Forum: Computer Technical Help
08-01-2005, 03:35 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 94
Re: Need help building poker laptop
I just bought a refurbished dell inspiron 6000. I searched the refurbished dell's for the lowest price laptop with WUXGA resolution (1900x1200). Found one for $600 ($680 total with s&h & taxes). ...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
07-27-2005, 01:17 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 43
Re: How much to raise with 1500 stacks?
I'm having the same problems at pokerroom.
Hero gets AA 1st hand of the tourney, raises to 125. 2 callers.
Flop 9h 8h 8c.
Hero bets $200, Villan #1 folds, Villian #2 raises all in. Hero...
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