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Forum: Sports Betting

12-06-2005, 10:41 PM

Replies: 33

BCS bowl lines are crazy

Views: 242

Posted By MCS

Re: BCS bowl lines are crazy

[ QUOTE ]
So how did Sagarin predict the USC/Oklahoma game from last year?

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't remember. I think it favored USC by like 1. Why?

Surely you are not planning to argue...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-06-2005, 02:35 AM

Replies: 33

BCS bowl lines are crazy

Views: 242

Posted By MCS

Re: BCS bowl lines are crazy

Hmmm. Interesting. I don't have a big enough sample size either. I used it largely for ESPN.com games where you have to pick winners and assign confidence levels, and it did very well there. ...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-06-2005, 01:03 AM

Replies: 33

BCS bowl lines are crazy

Views: 242

Posted By MCS

Re: BCS bowl lines are crazy

[ QUOTE ]
Have you had much success betting on lines that are far off from the predictor?

[/ QUOTE ]

No, I haven't even been studying sports betting for more than a year or so. But I have...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-05-2005, 11:13 PM

Replies: 33

BCS bowl lines are crazy

Views: 242

Posted By MCS

Re: BCS bowl lines are crazy

[ QUOTE ]
Sagarin doesn't account for Shockley being injured.

[/ QUOTE ]

I thought about that, but he only missed one game, right? Even if he's worth 21 points by himself, that still would...

Forum: Sports Betting

12-05-2005, 10:08 PM

Replies: 33

BCS bowl lines are crazy

Views: 242

Posted By MCS

BCS bowl lines are crazy

Okay, so I usually rely heavily on Sagarin predictor (http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt05.htm) to evaluate college football lines. Predictor is great. Usually the line is right around...

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