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Forum: Sports Betting 12-31-2005, 02:16 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 46
Posted By Scruff
Re: Ravens vs Browns

I like to use the Football Outsiders Weighted DVOA ratings, I basically convert them to point spreads, factor in a home field advantage and adjust for injuries subjectively. It's worked out pretty...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-31-2005, 02:10 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 41
Posted By Scruff
New to middling - how big of an edge is needed

I've read the FAQ and a few posts, and I want to try middling some games - so I'm wondering what is needed in terms of a spread.

For example, if one team is favored by -2.5 -110 on one site, and...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-08-2005, 10:06 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1
Posted By Scruff
Re: Fun with AKs

If you check the flop and it gets checked by the cutoff (possible since he didn't raise you), you have options on the turn.

If it's bet, you can raise and knock some people out - heck if the flush...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-08-2005, 09:40 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By Scruff
Re: a slow play

I say bet the flop. He expects you to bet, since you 3-bet pre-flop, and he could easily take that for a bluff and try to raise you off the hand or something.

Instead if he does have the flush...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-07-2005, 11:34 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 34
Posted By Scruff
NFL scoring

I noticed that last week, scoring was only 35.9 PPG, down from the season average of 41.8 PPG. Is that typical for this time of year, or was it just an abberation of some kind? 6 of the 16 games were...
Forum: Omaha/8 11-10-2005, 12:37 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Re: AA34 ds hand

Heh, okay!

MP1 called the 300.

Okay, now Im scared. She could be calling with a naked A2, since shes a bad player, but something like QQ is still scaring me. But if she had QQ, she would have...
Forum: Omaha/8 11-10-2005, 12:20 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Re: Winners/Losers PLO8

My database has 4370 hands and is 62/38 mostly at $200 buy-in, with some $500 and very little $50 and $100. Don't forget the rake. I think that's a bigger factor than survival bias, but I could be...
Forum: Omaha/8 11-09-2005, 11:39 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Re: AA34 ds hand

Thanks for the advice guys. What is a reasonable waiting period before posting the results? Or do you not even care?
Forum: Omaha/8 11-09-2005, 07:40 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Re: AA34 ds hand

Thanks for the tip on the not raising pot frequently enough (I hope I read that correctly).

You are right - this is not a 'strong' opponent, so maybe I underestimated a little there on the range...
Forum: Omaha/8 11-09-2005, 07:01 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Do they spread PLO8 live anywhere?

I'm going to Vegas next month, just wondering if PLO8 is spread anywhere out there or anywhere else live for that matter. Thanks for any advice.
Forum: Omaha/8 11-09-2005, 07:00 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 11
Posted By Scruff
Re: What adjustments to make going from Pot-limit to Fixed-limit O8?

Thanks for the help guys, please keep it coming . . . /images/graemlins/cool.gif
Forum: Omaha/8 11-09-2005, 06:44 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
AA34 ds hand

Did I play this hand well? What did I do well or poorly here? Thanks for any advice.

Omaha Hi/Low $5-$5 PL (real money)

9 Nov 2005 04:02 AM

Seat 1: UTG ($1,055.30 in chips)
Seat 2: UTG+1...
Forum: Omaha/8 11-07-2005, 07:14 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 11
Posted By Scruff
What adjustments to make going from Pot-limit to Fixed-limit O8?

I play a lot of PLO8 online and I've had good results since this summer at 2/2 and 5/5 blind levels ($200 and $500 buyin). That's just for background on my experience level, I've got a little over...
Forum: Omaha/8 07-30-2005, 05:24 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Re: Seperate PLO8 and Limit O/8 Forums?

I agree, the number of posts seems to be a pretty silly criteria if you ask me. Obviously there are enough posts to warrant bringing up the question in the first place, which should be all that...
Forum: Omaha/8 07-28-2005, 06:48 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Re: Seperate PLO8 and Limit O/8 Forums?

I agree that a separate forum should be set up. Thought it was kind of obvious that is was necessary, just never bothered suggesting it. Seems like a no-brainer to me.
Forum: Omaha/8 07-27-2005, 04:50 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
AAJJ heads up, you miss the flop

$200 PLO8, $2/$2 blinds

SB ($135)
BB ($277.50)
hero ($198)
MP1 ($99)
MP2 ($198)
MP3 ($98)
cutoff ($281.50)
Button ($532.50)
Forum: Omaha/8 07-27-2005, 04:35 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 26
Posted By Scruff
2nd nut low draw and bottom pair on a heads up flop

$200 PLO8 2/2 blinds

SB ($241)
BB ($192)
UTG ($184)
MP1 ($449)
MP2 ($80.50)
MP3 ($75)
Hero ($449)
BUT ($249)
Forum: Omaha/8 07-27-2005, 04:16 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Re: someone said I was a call station, lol

So really, I should be calling in these spots? I guess I can see it with the explanations, but that's an awfully tough call to make (although you did say you had a read and you'd seen the guy try...
Forum: Omaha/8 07-24-2005, 12:33 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Re: PLO8, yet another AA hand

[ QUOTE ]
I have to get it into my thick skull that only chasing half the pot in that situation is not a good idea.

Well played.

[/ QUOTE ]

Learning this concept is quite probably the most...
Forum: Omaha/8 07-13-2005, 05:57 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
Butchered AA hand?

Poker Room Omaha Hi/Low $0.50-$0.50 PL

Blind1 ($77.75 in chips)
Blind2 ($87.50 in chips)
UTG: hero [6 /images/graemlins/heart.gif,A /images/graemlins/diamond.gif,7...
Forum: Omaha/8 07-13-2005, 05:26 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 9
Posted By Scruff
low connectors, did I do the right thing? 2-parter

2 part question. Again, I'm somewhat new to the game, but I think I at least have a reasonable clue about what I'm doing. I know that middle cards suck, don't draw to non-nut hands without a damn...
Forum: Omaha/8 07-13-2005, 04:54 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 26
Posted By Scruff
AA hand

Pretty funny, very first hand of the night, after reading the Adam the Expert posts, I'm dealt AA34, with 3 clubs.

I'm really starting to get serious about this game, so tonight I had a text file...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 07-07-2005, 05:34 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 11
Posted By Scruff
Re: Nobody ever believes me

I believe it shows that you built a situation where he would have to fold a pretty strong hand getting 5.75:1 odds (assuming he's going to call your check raise and river bet, he'll win $46 when he's...
Forum: Poker Theory 07-07-2005, 03:54 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 28
Posted By Scruff
Re: AA all in preflop question

I don't think you can add the probabilities like that. Many of the boards (all of the flush boards) that will win for KQ, KJ, QJ will overlap, for example.

EDIT - my post was in response to...
Forum: Poker Theory 07-07-2005, 02:58 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 28
Posted By Scruff
Re: AA all in preflop question

The 876 is better because two of the straight cards (the AA) aren't missing . . . Also, the high card value doesn't mean anything because the AA will always be the top pair, either way you need to...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 27

 
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