Forum: Poker Theory
08-22-2005, 08:47 PM
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Replies: 16
Views: 133
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Forum: Poker Theory
08-05-2005, 06:38 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 90
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
07-07-2004, 04:49 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 66
Re: AQ - too tight?
Ok, I have been suitably chastised. I am convinced that this was a pretty terrible fold, and I'm a little surprised to find myself agreeing that a call wouldn't have been as terrible as I thought.
...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
07-04-2004, 04:12 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 66
AQ - too tight?
$20/$40 at the Horseshoe in Tunica, MS.
I've been playing for about an hour, and the only three hands I've had to show down happened to be AA, AA, and a 37o that I flopped trip 3's with in an...
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Forum: Poker Theory
05-23-2003, 06:04 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 89
Re: 2 card possibilites
there are a total of C[52,2] hands, which is equal to 52*51/2 = 1326 hands -- many of these hands are equivalent, however...
you might be dealt one of the 13 possible pairs. there are 6 ways to...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-23-2003, 11:56 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 43
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-16-2003, 01:21 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 45
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Forum: Probability
05-12-2003, 01:39 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 91
Re: Top Pair Flop
so, if the flop is xyz, where x > y >= z (x is the TOP card on the board), what are the chances, given n opponents with random cards, that at least one of them holds an x?
assuming that you don't...
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Forum: Probability
05-12-2003, 11:22 AM
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Replies: 1
Views: 89
Re: flush probabilities all in
you will make a flush with suited cards when the board has 3, 4, or 5 of your suit. you can compute each of those possibilities and add:
C[11,3]C[39,2] / C[50,5] = 5.77059%
+ C[11,4]C[39,1]...
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Forum: Poker Theory
05-12-2003, 10:28 AM
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Replies: 54
Views: 315
Re: me too - I\'d take it in a heartbeat
naively, they are going to call precisely when they have you beaten/dominated... so the question is, will you make enough by stealing the antes between hands where you are contested to make up for...
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Forum: Probability
05-12-2003, 09:41 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 91
Re: Top Pair Flop
I'm not quite sure what you're asking - are you trying to figure the probability of *someone* having top pair when n players see the flop? The problem with this sort of question is that it is much...
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Forum: Probability
05-11-2003, 03:43 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 90
Re: Odds question.
if you start with a pocket pair, then for both cards to play you must make quads in the rank you hold. this will happen C[48,3]/C[50,5] = 17296/2118760 = 0.816% of the time you start with a pocket...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-08-2003, 12:28 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 37
Re: zwitters: do the numbres make sense?
It does make sense, you can break it down like this:
1.31% of the time, you flop a straight.
10.45% of the time, you flop open-ended, and you will complete 31.5% of those (10.45% * 31.5% =...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-07-2003, 12:52 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 37
Re: An intersting question
okay -- i'll try not to botch the math this time...
first, you need to figure all of the ways you make a str8 with those two hands:
JT: 789, 89Q, 9QK, QKA
QJ: 89T, 9TK, TKA
for each of...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-06-2003, 06:40 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 61
ERROR CORRECTION
turns out I was computing the choose function wrong... correcting the math from the previous post:
quads : 2 ways
boats : 10's full ((3 C 2) * 3 = 9) ways + J's full ((3 C 2) * 3 = 9) ways = 18...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-06-2003, 06:31 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 61
sorry, pudley...
Pudley -- it turns out that you were right -- we DO need to multiply them by three...
the reason is: I was computing the choose function wrong...
I computed (11 choose 2) as 11 * 10, when it...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-06-2003, 06:24 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 61
ERROR CORRECTION
oops. the math from the previous posts was off - in most cases by a factor of three. The process I used was sound, but I was miscomputing the choose function throughout.
apologies for the...
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Forum: Probability
05-06-2003, 06:03 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 133
Re: minor error correction
Thanks!
you're absolutely right -- I didn't have a calculator with choose[] handy, and I was accidentaly computing the permutation function ((50! / (50-3)!) = 50 * 49 * 48) rather than the choose...
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Forum: Probability
05-06-2003, 04:24 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 133
Re: figures
I think these numbers are too high. I posted a response to vkotlyar's similar post in the mid-high stakes section:
link to other post......
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-06-2003, 12:58 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 61
Re: how can this be?
in addition to the str8's and flushes, there are many other hands you like to flop with 10/forums/images/icons/heart.gifJ/forums/images/icons/heart.gif
(using (x C y) to represent the choose...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-05-2003, 04:35 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 61
Re: How do i figure this out?
no. in both cases we are simply counting how many hands fulfill the given criteria, regardless of order...
so, the number of possible two-/forums/images/icons/heart.gif combinations from the 11...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-05-2003, 01:59 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 61
Re: How do i figure this out?
so, let's say you have T/forums/images/icons/heart.gif J/forums/images/icons/heart.gif :
# of remaining cards : 50
# of remaining /forums/images/icons/heart.gifs : 11
number of flops...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
05-04-2003, 02:43 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 50
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Forum: Home Poker
05-01-2003, 06:12 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 87
Re: Seizing on the raid aftermath, are we?
heh -- I was there during the APC raid -- pretty crazy stuff. two tables were in the middle of a hand when the police came in -- made for a tension-breaking laugh when the guy who had shown his set...
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Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em
04-29-2003, 04:03 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 59
could I have escaped this hand?
Let me start off by saying that I am not a regular pot- or no-limit player -- it's hands like this that are going keep me out until I figure out what's going on...
pot limit game ($2/$5 blinds). ...
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