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Search: Posts Made By: LetYouDown
Forum: Internet Gambling 12-22-2005, 05:11 PM
Replies: 86
Views: 16
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: how much do u make?

[ QUOTE ]
I'll be honest, I lost 34K this year and last year I dropped 53,500. I play 10-20 online, 4-6 tabling. Am I the only losing player here? Seriously?

[/ QUOTE ]
Umm...at the very least...
Forum: Probability 12-22-2005, 02:47 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 13
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Same pocket pairs - 4 suited flop

Probability of EXACTLY 4 of a suit coming (not 5, which gets trickier depending on the pair and straight flushes on board):

C(12,4) * 36/C(48,5) = 1.04%
Forum: Probability 12-22-2005, 10:54 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 14
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: A bit of help needed

[ QUOTE ]
I'm also a bit confused about whether the 'standard' C (permutations) function removes order considerations.

[/ QUOTE ]
It does. C(N,R) = N!/[(N-R)! * R!]

Working on the first...
Forum: Probability 12-22-2005, 10:52 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 13
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: A little help - Odds of me winning?

This is correct if this is actually how they're picking the winner. If they choose a random table first, and then choose a random player, it's right. If they just choose a random player, you'd need...
Forum: Probability 12-21-2005, 01:48 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 12
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Absence of ACES before the FLOP

C(N,R) = N!/[(N-R!) * R!]

! is the symbol for factorial. It's the multiplication of all the numbers between 1 and itself. So:

4! = 4 * 3 * 2 * 1
8! = 8 * 7 * 6 * 5 * 4 * 3 * 2 * 1
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 06:17 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 14
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: quick question

The probability that an individual has suited cards is 23.53%. You can't just multiply that by 10. To get the exact answer you need a fairly large inclusion/exclusion. Search for BruceZ's post on...
Forum: Other Other Topics 12-20-2005, 04:35 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 67
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: A song you DONT LIKE from your favorite band..

One Sweet World as least favorite DMB song? Wow.

Sleep to Dream Her by Dave gets my nod for worst DMB song, and it's not even remotely close. Unless you count unreleased works, and then you're...
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 04:28 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 14
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Help me With Pot Odds.

$800 total or someone bets $500 (all-in) into an $800 pot, bring the entire pot to $1300?
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 04:27 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: my math must be flawed, cuz this doesnt sound right

[ QUOTE ]
That does not make mathematical sense

[/ QUOTE ]
I agree, that's why I fixed your calculation.

[ QUOTE ]
You are inflating the results

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 02:18 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: my math must be flawed, cuz this doesnt sound right

Because of the "(only one person gets them)" clause. If more than one person gets them, it's counted twice.
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 12:25 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 8
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Odds for flopping trips with two unpaired cards in the hole..

C stands for Combinations, and is equivalent to the Excel function COMBIN. Basically, C(N,R) is the number of ways to select R items from a set of N items, regardless of order.

Simple...
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 12:21 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 11
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: 6max PP

As stated, number of players doesn't matter. Still 5 * C(4,2)/C(52,2) or ~2.26%.
Forum: Probability 12-20-2005, 12:19 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: my math must be flawed, cuz this doesnt sound right

If my A.M. inclusion/exclusion principle is correct, to meet your condition that only one person has A-A:

C(10,1) * C(4,2)/C(52,2) - C(10,2) * C(4,4)/C(52,4) = 4.5083% as opposed to 4.5249%
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 04:22 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Help Calculating The Odds on this Roulete Bet

For your sake, I hope you're just being a troll.
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 04:09 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Help Calculating The Odds on this Roulete Bet

In the long run, 24/37 times you'll "win" $100. If it hits on 14, you bet $200 but you take back $300 for a profit of $100. Make sense?

In the long run, 13/37 times you'll lose $200. This...
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 04:01 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Help Calculating The Odds on this Roulete Bet

EV = (24/37 * 100) + (13/37 * -200) = -$5.41 every time.

No.
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 03:36 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 8
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Odds for flopping trips with two unpaired cards in the hole..

Trips, without a boat/quads:

[2 * C(3,2) * 44]/C(50,3) = ~1.35% or ~73.24 to 1

2 of either of your cards (no boat/quads restriction):

[2 * C(3,2) * 48]/C(50,3) = ~1.47% or ~68 to 1
Forum: Probability 12-19-2005, 03:20 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 12
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Absence of ACES before the FLOP

Assume 10 handed. In the first example, you have no knowledge whatsoever, including your own cards. In the second example you have knowledge of your cards.

First: C(48,20)/C(52,20)
Second:...
Forum: Other Other Topics 12-17-2005, 11:37 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 17
Posted By LetYouDown
Another Headphones Post

Looking for headphones. Did a search for the past year, found that people seem to really dislike the Bose QC2 headphones, yet some people seem to like them. Can an audiophile give me a pro/con list...
Forum: Probability 12-16-2005, 04:56 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 9
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: A9- How often am I Behind?

[ QUOTE ]
There are 1326 total starting hands (but you hold A-9, so it's 1225), so the odds of one oppenent being ahead of you preflop is 120/1225=9.8%

[/ QUOTE ]
FYP.
Forum: Probability 12-15-2005, 05:11 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 9
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Odds of KK meeting a set of 8s three times in a row?

[ QUOTE ]
I think it's a 10% chance Im up against a pair of 8s when I have a pair kings

[/ QUOTE ]
Say what?

If you have one opponent, the probability he has 8-8 if you hold K-K:
...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-15-2005, 03:40 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 4
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: This is how to make money at SSNL

[ QUOTE ]
lol hand 3 is friggin hilarious. the maniacfish is a nocturnal species that often emerges to "hunt" with alcohol as an accompaniment.

[/ QUOTE ]
What I find funny is that hand #2 and...
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-15-2005, 02:52 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 11
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: 3 AK preflop hands (with a quiz!)

[ QUOTE ]
We have a winner!!!

[/ QUOTE ]
Cool! For once making a bad choice related to poker pays off /images/graemlins/grin.gif
Forum: Other Other Topics 12-15-2005, 02:50 AM
Replies: 60
Views: 61
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: Girl strips for dorm at Canadian University -NSFW link

This guy's expression needs a caption (http://www.imagedemon.com/image.asp?name=&im=7&id=051214172540-997234919&pic=14&up=&s=1)
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-15-2005, 02:40 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 11
Posted By LetYouDown
Re: 3 AK preflop hands (with a quiz!)

Hero has 150+ BB in hands 1/2 and is covered in both. He's reasonably deep. There's a difference between being weak/tight and waiting for a better spot. Loathe it all you want.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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