Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-13-2005, 10:52 AM
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Replies: 12
Views: 211
Re: huge pot river donk 50/100
Ignore the trolls: I've made worse plays.
There are perhaps some game-dymanics that make this play work, but they aren't are going to be rare.
I'm sure you know this play is wrong, I suspect...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-12-2005, 02:28 PM
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Replies: 23
Views: 456
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-12-2005, 12:45 PM
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Replies: 26
Views: 1,005
Re: Dead Man Drawing
Given what you know here - oppo no part of a flop, none of your hole cards cards then he is 6 in 45 to improve to a pair, one in every 7.5 trials. I'd also like to run it with a 80% bet on the turn...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-12-2005, 11:31 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 205
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-12-2005, 10:34 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 205
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-11-2005, 08:17 PM
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Replies: 49
Views: 1,340
Re: Texas Holdem Hand
This isn't a logical approach at all. You can't simply reverse-engineer to the hands he would play the flop onwards and not weight their preflop-flop probs (assuming you haven't down so).
For...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-11-2005, 06:46 PM
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Replies: 23
Views: 456
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-07-2005, 03:21 PM
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Replies: 54
Views: 439
Re: 150/300 hand
I reckon you dismiss bet-call too easily here; either way I don't much differentiate between either bet-call or bet fold, simply because the river raise seems so unlikely here. It's this...
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Forum: One-table Tournaments
12-04-2005, 02:42 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 83
Re: True EV of PP Steps tournaments
A belated thanks for the kind words guys; I'm planning on re-writing this article adding a little extra on the flatness and sticking it on my blog, which I haven't got up yet - it would be less of a...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
12-01-2005, 08:48 PM
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Replies: 28
Views: 292
Re: AA raise the river?
I might raise by through impulse, but upon inspection this is a call to for me. You've got to be better than 67% here to raise - you're about as likely to fold to his 3 bet as he is to your raise -...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-25-2005, 03:09 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 282
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-25-2005, 02:35 PM
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Replies: 16
Views: 207
Re: Some 50/100 hands. mostly boring
[ QUOTE ]
This seems really close, but it seems like i will not be winning more than 50% when called on my raise.
[/ QUOTE ]
You likely need to be more than 50% fav to justify a raise (as...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-25-2005, 02:14 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 726
Re: 2 Party hands, Kukavica, Fucngr8t
Unless your known for limp raising his blind with medium hands (J-Q) then I think the call is probably wrong as he will doubtless raise a lot in this spot, especially SH.
The rest of the play is...
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Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em
11-25-2005, 10:54 AM
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Replies: 62
Views: 481
Re: 80/160 hand against J.A. Sucker
Ok I've not read every post, but here are some comments:
PF - I'm not a big fan of playing a mixed style in fairly unique situations, where learning is less valuable. So I'd think Id always...
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Forum: Internet Gambling
05-19-2005, 09:13 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 18
Re: Party Merchandise
Agree, but neither do Party: the affiliates to their skins do. Certainly Party would rather you play directly with them - their FPP points don't encourage you to stay with them imo.
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Forum: Internet Gambling
05-19-2005, 07:47 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 18
Party Merchandise
I'm not surprised that Poker Stars are catching up with Party. At times I wonder how Party have become so successful, then it becomes apparent: cynical tactics. Though I wonder how long these...
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Forum: Probability
05-18-2005, 05:27 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 225
Re: Probability BrainTeaser (toughie)
The key to the sense of this solution is the redundant wrong-guesses.
Each of the three active players guesses half the time and and of those guesses only half of those are right. Since 3 players...
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Forum: Probability
05-17-2005, 02:19 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 225
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Forum: Probability
05-17-2005, 02:10 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 225
Re: Probability BrainTeaser (toughie)
yes both your assumptions are correct.
I said not lateral, but thats a little unfair. You probably need to go a little lateral then logical.
The proper clue tonight will help.
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Forum: Probability
05-17-2005, 01:57 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 225
Re: Probability BrainTeaser (toughie)
Guys it aint impossible, there is a very logical/not lateral explanation. I'm out to dinner and I'll post a clue tonight if folk want it. It got the better of me, I got stuck on the premise of the...
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Forum: Probability
05-17-2005, 10:31 AM
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Replies: 30
Views: 225
Probability BrainTeaser (toughie)
Now no one-up-man-ship here guys, don't spoil it for other folk if you simply know the answer. Good luck.
Every year, after the Christmas social at the Woodenhead Bridge Club, a party game is...
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Forum: Probability
05-17-2005, 10:27 AM
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Replies: 30
Views: 211
Re: Probabilty Riddles
'And no.'
A fair cop, but it was 4am. Though I thought the problem was a mixture problem , which, as you said, required equal sizes and which is, of course, a special case of the problem amount....
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Forum: Probability
05-16-2005, 11:10 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 124
Re: Paradox of the wallet
'.....this game would appear to be -EV for both players. Clearly this can not be true either.'
there is an important distinction to be made between a game being negative EV for both players and...
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Forum: Probability
05-16-2005, 09:44 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 124
Re: Paradox of the wallet
If both players play sub-optimally w.r.t game theory.
Suppose, in a similar game, both players are randomly assigned a number between 1 and 10 assigned to them. They must independtly decide...
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Forum: Probability
05-16-2005, 09:20 PM
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Replies: 30
Views: 211
Re: Probabilty Riddles
It is perhaps simpler and key just to acknowledge that both jars finished with the same volume of liquid they started with.Since the liquids are conserved between the jars, whatever one jar lost the...
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