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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-31-2005, 03:14 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 29
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Rake at 3/6

I just moved to 5/10 last week. The rake at 5/10 is like .05 BB less than 3/6.

5/10 is a little tougher than 3/6. The overall aggression is higher but it's still donktastic.
Forum: Mid-High Stakes Shorthanded 12-30-2005, 01:36 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 62
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Hand...

[ QUOTE ]

I was originally all for this thinking that many Ax hands will think they have you beat. On top of that, many Ax hands might open from the SB. I want to 3-bet so badly, but I could see...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-29-2005, 01:58 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 4
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Willfull suspension of disbelief as it pertains to river play

[ QUOTE ]
I call.

1 bet gets you BB's bet plus possibly Button's bet.

If you raise and BB doesn't have a 4, you lose the Button and get another bet from BB unless it was a stone cold bluff....
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-29-2005, 12:57 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 4
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Willfull suspension of disbelief as it pertains to river play

[ QUOTE ]

I really think it just simplifies the whole problem to think of it that way. Your hand is just so good it's not even funny here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yup you're right. I just felt the raise...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-28-2005, 08:26 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 4
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Willfull suspension of disbelief as it pertains to river play

[ QUOTE ]
great post

B is a lot higher than 10% tho

[/ QUOTE ]

Oh and just by looking at the equation, you can see that:

B makes twice as much of an impact as compared to A
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-28-2005, 07:13 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 4
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Willfull suspension of disbelief as it pertains to river play

Ok I'm going to try and solve this problem using some math.

Let X be the probability that Hero is ahead of UTG
Let Y be the probability that Hero is behind UTG

Let A be the probability that...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-27-2005, 09:47 PM
Replies: 74
Views: 13
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: I Know 2+2 Wants To Kill Me For This......

[ QUOTE ]
You're joking me.

[/ QUOTE ]

I am.

But I would cap it anyways. There is a chance that one of them is getting stupid with a hand outside the range, not to mention your discount in...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-27-2005, 09:39 PM
Replies: 74
Views: 13
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: I Know 2+2 Wants To Kill Me For This......

[ QUOTE ]
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
29.9 % { 88+, ATs+, KTs+, AJo+, KQo }
36.9 % { 99+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+ }
33.1 % { AKo }
</pre><hr />

cap that [censored].

edit: i don't...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-27-2005, 03:25 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 3
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: T9o River

[ QUOTE ]
i am pretty sure villain has a set a good percentage of the time. the turn is a pretty commonplay at 3/6 since there are 4 people in the hand. it seems obvious that a bad player would...
Forum: Medium Stakes Hold'em 12-27-2005, 01:09 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 12
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: 10/20 KK

Bet/3-betting the turn is a sign of immense strength normally.

I'll agree that his flop line is a little odd and defining his hand range can be quite debatable but I think you need to know that...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-27-2005, 01:00 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 3
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: T9o River

You're getting 13 to 1 odds meaning you have to be good only about 7% of the time.

You don't really have much information to narrow down his hand range, as he is very loose and called all the way...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-27-2005, 12:54 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: AKs Plan

I think you can call the turn and see the river card. I think your overcard outs are very very clean. Most players will slowplay trip jacks so I think you can discount that significantly. You aren't...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-26-2005, 01:32 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 7
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: 5/10: JJ w/ A flop

You get to see a showdown and get a chance to hit your possible two outer for the same price (2 BB's).
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-25-2005, 04:36 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: c/c or bet/fold with A when board is double paired?

I don't see villain calling a bet from you with a worse hand (Q high). Unless you have a read that says otherwise.

Other Ace highs are probably calling the river but that doesn't give you any...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-25-2005, 04:26 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 6
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: 3/6: SPTK on a monotone flop

[ QUOTE ]
raise preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's actually not a bad idea. You have an equity edge against two random hands and raising might buy you the button + an increase in equity with some dead...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-25-2005, 04:19 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 4
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: KK line check.

I don't think you should fold this.

Most people will think "He's FOS he doesn't have the Q" and will C/R with a 7 or some other PP. This happens quite often.
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-25-2005, 04:16 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 2
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: 2006 Goals Thread

- Make enough money at poker to buy a nice car by the summer
- Stop caring about day-to-day results so much
- Keep improving and moving up limits (at 5/10 6max now)
- Work out more
- Post more
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 12-25-2005, 03:14 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 5
Posted By fizzleboink
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-22-2005, 08:37 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 5
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Keeping the Lead in the Blinds

[ QUOTE ]

-the lower 3/4 of the ace range
-the upper half of the eight range (as 83o probably folds pf)
-the middle 3/4 of the ten range (as big tens will raise pf or on the flop, and crap ten...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-22-2005, 05:40 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 5
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Q9s, paired board

I think this is an easy limp with bad players as you will have a marginal edge. Raising is ok too for the same reason.

That being said you only have that marginal edge if you are capable of...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-22-2005, 05:32 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 5
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: overplayed or just right?

I don't mind your line although the river donk is a little worrysome.

I'd just play it straight up against a lag and 3-bet the flop. I think that would have helped you make a decision later on in...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-22-2005, 05:24 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 5
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Keeping the Lead in the Blinds

There are very few hands that we're ahead of that will call the river. So unless he is a gigantic calling station I think this is a check/call on the river to induce a bluff.

Note that if the turn...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-22-2005, 05:16 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 11
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Hero has TT in BB in his very first 5/10 session

[ QUOTE ]
However, if that's the case, we can't check/call the river too. We have to fold if he bets the river, too. We'll almost never see a river bet from a hand we beat.

Bet/folding is good...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-22-2005, 05:07 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Scary flop with TT vs a lag

You're pretty much break-even equity wise on the flop. I think 3-betting to possibly push the BB out to get it heads up with the lag would improve our equity significantly. If the BB still calls it...
Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded 12-22-2005, 04:41 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 11
Posted By fizzleboink
Re: Hero has TT in BB in his very first 5/10 session

[ QUOTE ]
If you didn't have the gutshot outs then I would bet the turn as we can safely fold to a raise. The fact that you have outs to a gutshot leads me to check and call as I would hate it to be...
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