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Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 06-28-2005, 11:15 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 30
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Protecting overcards

Hoping he raises doesn't seem right to me unless he's sure to raise with AQ. Even then, I think you want folks in the pot suggesting you should check-raise. If your cards were higher than its worse...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 06-28-2005, 11:09 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 129
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: A6s in the BB. A few decisions requiring input.

You one-card back-door small straight draw isn't worth anywhere near the worth of your nut 3-flush, which is only "worth" 1.5 outs. Things are better if that J was a Q, for reasons you can deduce on...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-28-2005, 07:43 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 218
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Most profitable situations...

Nut straight with the flush redraw against the nut straight should guarantee you get all your chips in, and as a 2:1 favorite and cannot lose.

The most common "best" I've seen is a set against an...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-28-2005, 07:40 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 218
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Most profitable situations...

Even if the big-trips calls you are still only a 771:229 = 3.4:1 favorite. And I'm sure there are reasonable folks that will lay down say KT board KK4 when the tight-wad moves all in.

- Louie
Forum: Poker Theory 06-26-2005, 06:45 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 84
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Question on calculating holdem odds using 4/2 method

You don't.

The 4% (with 2 cards to go) and 2% (with one card to go) times your # outs to estimate your chances is fair when you have few outs, such as 3, but falls apart in accuracy when you've...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-26-2005, 06:40 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 86
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Pot odds after a raise

So. You find yourself in a situation with the probable worst hand and you are considering calling. Do this: You compare your Odds-against-winning ratio with the reward-cost ratio. Pot odds is...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-25-2005, 10:56 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 124
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Pot odds Preflop in NL Hold\'em

He's correct if there wasn't any more betting. Being out of position with a weak hand that isn't going to make a monster very often infers significantly bad implied odds. You've got to know you are...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-25-2005, 10:54 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 86
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Pot odds after a raise

Right now its 9:1, go for that. But you also have to take into account the small chance that one of the callers is going to 3-bet, which will reduce your odds AND reduce the chance you end up with...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-25-2005, 10:50 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 133
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: I still don\'t get this at all. Please help me understand:

Malmuth made a big mistake in that article about checking Aces after the flop so that the opponents fold for a single turn bet. That's easy to prove to be false.

That Manipulating The Size of...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-25-2005, 10:33 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 134
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: John Vorhaus and Killer Poker

Years ago Vorhouse wrote well written but terrible advise columns. Then he quit with a column admitting he'd been bluffing those years and really didn't know squat about poker. That seemed to be...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-25-2005, 12:08 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 155
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Hold \'em Variant

Doesn't look much like there's a reason to play drawing hands PF, such as 44 and 87s. You are thus only playing very stong hands. But you do need to play the strong hands since it cheaper than...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-20-2005, 11:54 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 91
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: A theoretical draw question

Going first you can easily contrive an example where you "bluff" by standing pat with say a rough 9, encouraging the opponent to discard is 9 and draw to his 7; whereas if he went first he may be...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-20-2005, 11:48 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 129
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: A-high flush w trips on board

The other folks generally look at the absolute value of their hand such as "flush" or "full house" and downgrade the relative value. Thus its easy to bluff them when they have small pairs even if...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-20-2005, 11:42 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 95
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Trusting you reads

Judging by what I've read in these forums about No Limit, the following seems to be a minority opinion.

I think the problem is the notion of "pot committed". I see it written about a lot but it...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-18-2005, 02:50 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 85
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Math question from a newbie

Math is mostly used to determine strategy away from the table. You can do such things as determine the chances the opponent can beat your pocket 8s if he raises with group 4 or better and a Q flops....
Forum: Poker Theory 06-18-2005, 02:38 AM
Replies: 63
Views: 298
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Most over-rated / under-rated hold \'em starting hands?

Be careful of the Poker room stats since they show how well the hand has actually done and don't show how well the hand SHOULD have done. Idiots who call all the way with 22 will certainly lose...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-18-2005, 02:33 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 139
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Is there any way to win a tourny when shortstack?

Since the chips you can win are not worth as much as the chips you risk to win them, then you should theoretically play a lot more conservatively in a tournament, right from the start but especially...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-17-2005, 12:14 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 95
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Isolation raises preflop in limit

Yup, raising or reraising trying to "isolate" the raiser heads up. It doesn't really refer to strong hands that you'll 3-bet with anyway, the phrase is reserved for seemingly marginal holdings. You...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-17-2005, 12:07 AM
Replies: 117
Views: 492
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Small Stack vs. Big Stack

Big stack vrs big stack poker is a lot different than small stack vrs small stack poker. There are plenty of times you may move all in with a small stack but would never bet that much if you have a...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-17-2005, 12:02 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 127
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Your BETTING

2/3rd to a full pot is normal. There are times to over bet. Times to underbet would be when its unlikely to be straight or flush draws.

Value betting is with a hand that figure to win most of...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-16-2005, 11:55 PM
Replies: 63
Views: 298
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Most over-rated / under-rated hold \'em starting hands?

Most underrated would be AK when Aggressive Andy 2-bets. Most overrated would be AK when Mother Theresa 3-bets.

- Louie
Forum: Poker Theory 06-16-2005, 11:50 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 126
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Basic math question

Breaking even means you must win the $4 5-times for ever 4-times you lose the $5. That means winning 5 times out of 9 which is about 55%.

Lets check. 55% times you win $4 - 45% times you lose...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-16-2005, 11:43 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 157
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: Poor run of cards when will it end

Yes yes yes, you have been on a losing steak but are not 'on' one. The cards don't remember, and if they do they don't have the strength to manipulate when they come up ..err.. or if they do they...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-16-2005, 11:38 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 129
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: A-high flush w trips on board

Preamble: Mother Theresa raises and you inexplicably call with red 9s. You've been caller her all the way. By the river the board is KhQhJhTh3c giving you the straight flush. You bet and she...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-16-2005, 11:26 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 129
Posted By Louie Landale
Re: No Limit VS Limit

Standing pat with 2-pair is an option reserved for openers against a weak-tight 3-card caller. Raising and standing pat is rediculous unless you are SURE you can induce a suspicious one-big pair...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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