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Forum: Probability

10-22-2005, 05:06 AM

Replies: 30

odds of opponent holding pocket Aces given you holdpocket Kings

Views: 253

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: odds of opponent holding pocket Aces given you holdpocket Kings

with 50 unknown cards you can have a posiblity of 1225 hands 6 are AA. Against 1 opponent then (6/1225).

Against X number of opponents then aprox:
1 - (1219/1225)^x

If x approx.
2 then .00977...

Forum: Probability

10-22-2005, 04:54 AM

Replies: 9

Classic Type Game Theory Problem

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: Classic Type Game Theory Problem

I think case 3 has sub cases:

if (.5 - a) > (b - .5) then a should never bluff.
If a redraws then a wins 100(1-b). If a bluffs and stands and is sucessful 100% of the time in getting b to redraw...

Forum: Probability

10-22-2005, 03:55 AM

Replies: 15

Quiz: Draw dead preflip with AA

Views: 128

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: Quiz: Draw dead preflip with AA, counted 22050 ways

just looked a PlasticHats solution. There are many times more possible combinations. But I am too tired to count.

Matt

Forum: Probability

10-22-2005, 03:40 AM

Replies: 15

Quiz: Draw dead preflip with AA

Views: 128

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: Quiz: Draw dead preflip with AA, counted 22050 ways

I counted 22050 different ways to for AA to be drawing dead (against 11 opponents):

AdAh will be drawing dead if:

Opponent 1 = KdKh
Opponent 2 = 7d7h
Opponent 3 = AsAc
Opponents 4,5,6 and...

Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em

06-29-2005, 02:44 AM

Replies: 9

AA hands

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: AA hand 2

For the second hand lets look at the math.

The pot is $63.60
Its $31.75 to call.
So you are getting 2 to 1 for a call.

If he hit a set you have about a 10-11% chance of winning.
If he has...

Forum: Poker Theory

06-06-2005, 09:47 PM

Replies: 121

Pure Theory Question

Views: 524

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: Pure Theory Question

Clearly with AA you call and 32o you fold.

Consider you hold KK:
If you call you will win 82.4% of the time with an EV of $648
If you know your opponents cards:
He will hold AA (6 of 1225...

Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em

06-05-2005, 12:37 AM

Replies: 7

kk foldable pre-flop?

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: kk foldable pre-flop?

If you under the gun against 9 opponents and you hold KK, you will be against AA aprox 4.3% of the time or 1 in 23 times.
If you "know" you are up against aces, you should check your pot odds before...

Forum: Poker Theory

06-04-2005, 11:28 PM

Replies: 3

Math help (mild whine, you've been warned)

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: Math help (mild whine, you\'ve been warned)

There are 3 possible outcomes:
(The math can change slightly depending on the exact combination of suits)

First, you win the first all in and eliminate your opponent = 75.1%
Second, you lose the...

Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em

06-03-2005, 08:44 PM

Replies: 31

Want to improve your poker? Apply within....

Views: 119

Posted By wrestler_118

Re: Want to improve your poker? Apply within....

1) Real name / Age
Matt / 35
2) Location
Northern CA
3) Family status (married/single) How long?
married 14 years w/ 3 daughters.
4) Occupation
grad student / student teacher
5) Current...

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