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Forum: Probability

08-05-2005, 03:32 AM

Replies: 16

minimum buy in- post->push->leave

Views: 139

Posted By gonepunting

Re: minimum buy in- post->push->leave

I think this analysis is correct. This move is +EV and if you find a late position seat and only do this when there are one or more limpers this would improve the strategy further. Say this happens...

Forum: Probability

04-14-2005, 07:43 PM

Replies: 2

Help w/ probability calculation regarding flopping the nuts

Posted By gonepunting

Re: Help w/ probability calculation regarding flopping the nuts

The chance that you have the nuts on the turn means dodging 9 pairing cards and 10 clubs (not counting the club ten). Whether someone else holds two clubs or not is not part of the problem. That...

Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em

03-13-2005, 06:44 PM

Replies: 22

Should I be doing this often, rarely, not at all?

Posted By gonepunting

Re: Should I be doing this often, rarely, not at all?

I do it a lot, but why bet the pot. I find that on a board like that 5 or 6 dollars will do and now you don't need 50% all fold anymore, 40 or 45 per cent will do.

Forum: Probability

03-11-2005, 02:35 AM

Replies: 2

Absolute's 100 millionth hand promotion

Posted By gonepunting

Re: Absolute\'s 100 millionth hand promotion

I'd have thought it would be easy enough to calculate. Particularly if you can observe the number of each hand being dealt at your table. Even if you can't, you could always do a rough guess based on...

Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em

03-11-2005, 12:07 AM

Replies: 19

AQs BB defense

Posted By gonepunting

Re: AQs BB defense

Agreed
If a guy is an 8% PFR and adjusts his play for position he could be a 4% PFR from UTG+2
4% PFR means he raises with AA-QQ AK & AQ
or maybe AA-TT & AK & AQs
Which means you don't really...

Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em

03-10-2005, 11:51 PM

Replies: 2

1 pair, draws on board

Posted By gonepunting

Re: 1 pair, draws on board

I'd bet the turn with even more draws on the board. Can fold to reraise now.
Might check behind on the river too.

Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em

03-09-2005, 11:40 PM

Replies: 6

Another preflop KK Situation

Posted By gonepunting

Re: Another preflop KK Situation

I had a similar one at $100 Pot limit on Cryptologic the other day.

SB ()
BB ($19)
UTG ()
MP ()
CO ($68)
Button ($100)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K, K.

Forum: Probability

02-23-2005, 11:34 PM

Replies: 19

Being dealt A2xx in Omaha/8

Views: 148

Posted By gonepunting

Re: Being dealt A2xx in Omaha/8

gaming_mouse's answer is slightly out as it double counts hands with AA2 or A22.
I make it
A2xx 4*4*(44*43/2)=15136
A22x or AA2x 6*4*44=1056 times 2 = 2112
All aces or...

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