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Search: Posts Made By: Lin Sherman
Forum: Probability 12-24-2002, 12:47 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 22
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Easy Hold \'em Question

True odds are the ratio of losing outcomes to winning outcomes. So the true odds are (1980-574):574 = 1406:574 = 2.449:1

Lin
Forum: Probability 12-24-2002, 03:11 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 22
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Hornblower\'s Duel

Yes, assume that Hornblower dies if he sustains any injury at all.
Forum: Probability 12-23-2002, 11:29 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 22
Posted By Lin Sherman
Hornblower\'s Duel

Horatio Hornblower is accused of cheating at cards, and to preserve his honor, challenges his accuser to a duel. As the challenger, Hornblower gets to pick the weapons. His opponent is an expert at...
Forum: Probability 12-23-2002, 10:58 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 24
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Odds Question?

Remember the number 1081. This is the total possible combinations of the last two cards when you've already seen 5 of them (i.e., your hand and the flop). The question is how many of these 2-card...
Forum: Stud 12-23-2002, 10:42 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 9
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: 10-20 - TABLE WITH MANIAC OPPONENTS!! WOULD YOU.......

This is obviously a premium drawing hand. You would rather not play it for $40 because this is hurting your implied odds, but with 7-way action you almost have to play it.

Lin
Forum: Stud 12-23-2002, 10:27 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 9
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Check, Bet, or Raise with Trips (Paired Doorcard) on 4th

It really depends on how good your opponents are and whether you have been mixing up your game all along. Pot odds also matter.

Against the overwhelming majority of low-limit players, you might as...
Forum: Stud 12-23-2002, 09:41 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 11
Posted By Lin Sherman
Reply to Pat and CJC

You folks are obviously more familiar with these Foxwood games than I am, so I can't argue with some of the points you made, especially about the general approach to playing those games. However,...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 12-20-2002, 07:54 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 28
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Interesting 3-6 problem

Flop: bet. I'm not going to count on an UNKNOWN player to bet for me, so no check-raise here. I'll call the raise.

Turn: I'd check-raise. If he's got AA, 54, or a 2, well that's the way it goes...
Forum: Stud 12-20-2002, 07:21 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 11
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: How to compete with a maniac?

Tightening up was right, playing more drawing hands was probably wrong. In spread limit, the bet size doesn't double on the late streets, so if a maniac is making you pay $6 on third to play a...
Forum: Stud 12-20-2002, 07:06 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 12
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: New to the Game

Unless you have a rock-crusher like aces full, your good hands never have that much edge in stud. This is especially true in multiway pots where your opponents' combined "outs" can make you a big...
Forum: Stud 12-20-2002, 06:47 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 9
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Raise or fold?

This hand is very marginal but not entirely unplayable. Still, I would recommend that most players fold it.

IF you are a better player than anyone already in the pot, IF your opponents tend to be...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 12-09-2002, 09:35 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 3
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: 10-20: AA under pressure on the turn

I'd fold. When you figure your implied odds, you probably need at least a 20% chance of winning, and I don't think you have anywhere near that. SB may be a bad player, but that doesn't mean he...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 12-06-2002, 08:38 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 3
Posted By Lin Sherman
JJ in Big Blind 10-20 Hand

Loosish 10-20 game. I've just sat down in the big blind. Half the players are familiar regulars, half are strangers. My hand is J /forums/images/icons/diamond.gif J /forums/images/icons/club.gif .
...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 12-06-2002, 07:13 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 3
Posted By Lin Sherman
No way

I'm roughly guesstimating that in a 10-handed game you'd have to NET at least $600 per pot when you do win just to break even. "Fair" players just aren't going to give you that kind of action.
...
Forum: Other Poker Games 12-06-2002, 06:17 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 4
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Playing Omaha Hi-Lo 8s or Better

My own opinion is that, given identical limits and opponents of similar levels of ability, a really good player will do better playing Hold'em. The downside is that Hold'em requires a larger...
Forum: Stud 12-04-2002, 08:54 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: is pairing your door card a bad beat?

Isn't that a game with a $1 ante and $2 bring-in? I'll take it.

Where pairing your door card is a bad beat is in spread limit games with no antes.

Lin
Forum: Stud 12-04-2002, 08:50 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 12
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Is it kosher to just write everything down in a notebook?

Sure, but be prepared to have people give you weird looks and ask you what you are doing. Some don't like it, others think you're taking the game too seriously.

Lin
Forum: Probability 11-29-2002, 03:39 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 43
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Odds of 3 in a row?

If the probability of getting a SPECIFIC HAND once is 1/x, then the probability of getting THAT hand three times in a row is 1/(x^3). However, the probability of getting ANY hand once is 1, so the...
Forum: Stud 11-29-2002, 03:29 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 13
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: 3rd try - Stud/8 - raising on 7th w/ lock?

Assuming that you have a lock for low and that Dick won't reraise, the probability of the third player cold-calling a raise has to be one half of the probability of his calling for one bet in order...
Forum: Stud 11-29-2002, 02:37 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 14
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: After examination

I think Ashley's advice is pretty much right on target.

His example is a bit extreme (it's rare for five players to go to the showdown) but, in my experience, it's typical of what happens to...
Forum: Stud 11-27-2002, 05:20 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 14
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: $1-$2 hand on Paradise

Because of the goofy structure and low limit, raising to thin the field on third street rarely works in Paradise 1-2 games. So if you do raise, do so because you think making the pot bigger is to...
Forum: Stud 11-26-2002, 05:02 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 12
Posted By Lin Sherman
Re: Greetings,Players! 6th Str. Dilemma..Hmmm

Call it down. I can't believe anyone would seriously consider folding a made flush vs an opponent about whom you know nothing except his age. A fold has to be right about four times out of five to...
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