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Search: Posts Made By: MSchmahl
Forum: Beginners Questions 12-03-2002, 07:30 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 39
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: Filling Up

</font><blockquote><font class="small">In reply to:</font><hr />
would it be correct to reduce your outs since three of the community cards are in the "playing zone," and thus make it more likely...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-02-2002, 01:39 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 241
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: My Complete and Final Thoughts

In case you're interested, I calclulated these from Heads-Up equity vs. random opponent's hand (http://mentorms.best.vwh.net/poker/he_ev_hand.html).

R(A) = 61.1%
R(K) = 57.8%
R(Q) = 55.4%
R(J)...
Forum: Probability 12-02-2002, 12:08 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 285
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: Answer

For #2, the 9th player will answer in English if the hat in front him is black, French if it's red, and Spanish if it is white.

Again, 9 guaranteed correct answers.

FWIW, I don't think this is...
Forum: Probability 12-01-2002, 11:58 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 148
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: Stupid probability question

I will assume, as you do, that each song has a 1/40 chance of being played. Let's also assume that you listen to about 10 songs per day. The probability of hearing "Goodbye to you" in the first...
Forum: Probability 12-01-2002, 11:22 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 242
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: Odds of 3 in a row?

The "correct" answer is as much psychological as mathematical. This type of question is inspired by some unusual occurrence, and only afterwards does someone say "Wow, what were the chances of...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 12-01-2002, 10:30 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 128
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: Secrets of Poker #2

A player who would raise all-in with Axs might also have an underpair. And larger pocket pairs seem a relatively small subset of the universe of hands that "wild all-in raiser" might have.

Let's...
Forum: Probability 12-01-2002, 09:50 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 114
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: Calculating 2 AhAd in a row in the next 3 hands?

There are three ways of getting AhAd in exactly two out your next three hands: 1st+2nd, 1st+3rd, and 2nd+3rd. Plus you may also get AhAd in all three of your next three hands.

So the probability...
Forum: Mid-, High-Stakes Pot- and No-Limit Hold'em 12-01-2002, 08:58 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 128
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: Secrets of Poker #2

Isn't 66 a huge favorite over A6s? If the 66 player knows Yerma is betting like this with Axs, shouldn't any pocket pair or big ace call?
Forum: Beginners Questions 11-24-2002, 05:37 AM
Replies: 50
Views: 180
Posted By MSchmahl
Re: TeddyKGB\'s last hand in Rounders

I just now re-watched Rounders. The first time I saw it was before I knew much about poker, so this whole thread would have been way over my head.

The screen shot is no help in deciding what...
Forum: Multi-table Tournaments 11-23-2002, 07:01 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 35
Posted By MSchmahl
Knocked out holding KK -- misplayed?

I finished 37th out of 589, with T470k in play.

Should I have laid down my kings against twin8s' check-raise? Folding would have left me at T3165, from where I would be blinded out soon. I...
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